TechTarget Common Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

TTGT Stock  USD 5.17  0.23  4.26%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TechTarget Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 4.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.88. TechTarget Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of TechTarget Common's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TechTarget Common's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TechTarget Common Stock, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting TechTarget Common's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.52)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.35
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.59
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.82
Wall Street Target Price
12.3333
Using TechTarget Common hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TechTarget Common Stock from the perspective of TechTarget Common response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TechTarget Common using TechTarget Common's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TechTarget using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TechTarget Common's stock price.

TechTarget Common Short Interest

An investor who is long TechTarget Common may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about TechTarget Common and may potentially protect profits, hedge TechTarget Common with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
7.0422
Short Percent
0.0743
Short Ratio
5.87
Shares Short Prior Month
2.1 M
50 Day MA
5.3054

TechTarget Common Stock Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to TechTarget Common's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TechTarget. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TechTarget can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TechTarget Common Stock. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of TechTarget Common's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about TechTarget Common.

TechTarget Common Implied Volatility

    
  1.98  
TechTarget Common's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TechTarget Common Stock stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TechTarget Common's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TechTarget Common stock will not fluctuate a lot when TechTarget Common's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TechTarget Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 4.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.88.

TechTarget Common after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.41  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TechTarget Common to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, TechTarget Common's Payables Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to gain to 5.34 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 477.39 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 34.5 M in 2026. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 50.2 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 TechTarget Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast TechTarget Common's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in TechTarget Common's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for TechTarget Common stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current TechTarget Common's open interest, investors have to compare it to TechTarget Common's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of TechTarget Common is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in TechTarget. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

TechTarget Common Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TechTarget price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TechTarget using various technical indicators. When you analyze TechTarget charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the TechTarget Common's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2005-12-31
Previous Quarter
61.7 M
Current Value
46.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
100.5 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for TechTarget Common is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of TechTarget Common Stock value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

TechTarget Common Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of TechTarget Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 4.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TechTarget Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TechTarget Common's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TechTarget Common Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest TechTarget CommonTechTarget Common Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

TechTarget Common Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TechTarget Common's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TechTarget Common's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.57 and 8.35, respectively. We have considered TechTarget Common's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.17
4.96
Expected Value
8.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TechTarget Common stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TechTarget Common stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8897
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1619
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0299
SAESum of the absolute errors9.8755
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of TechTarget Common Stock. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict TechTarget Common. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for TechTarget Common

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TechTarget Common Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.025.418.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.697.0810.47
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.2212.3313.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TechTarget Common. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TechTarget Common's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TechTarget Common's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TechTarget Common Stock.

Other Forecasting Options for TechTarget Common

For every potential investor in TechTarget, whether a beginner or expert, TechTarget Common's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TechTarget Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TechTarget. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TechTarget Common's price trends.

TechTarget Common Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TechTarget Common stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TechTarget Common could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TechTarget Common by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TechTarget Common Stock Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TechTarget Common's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TechTarget Common's current price.

TechTarget Common Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TechTarget Common stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TechTarget Common shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TechTarget Common stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TechTarget Common Stock entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TechTarget Common Risk Indicators

The analysis of TechTarget Common's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TechTarget Common's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting techtarget stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for TechTarget Stock Analysis

When running TechTarget Common's price analysis, check to measure TechTarget Common's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TechTarget Common is operating at the current time. Most of TechTarget Common's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TechTarget Common's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TechTarget Common's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TechTarget Common to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.