TechTarget Common Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

TTGT Stock  USD 5.38  0.12  2.18%   
TechTarget Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of TechTarget Common's share price is approaching 49. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TechTarget Common, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TechTarget Common's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TechTarget Common Stock, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting TechTarget Common's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.52)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.35
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.59
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.82
Wall Street Target Price
12.3333
Using TechTarget Common hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TechTarget Common Stock from the perspective of TechTarget Common response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TechTarget Common using TechTarget Common's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TechTarget using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TechTarget Common's stock price.

TechTarget Common Short Interest

An investor who is long TechTarget Common may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about TechTarget Common and may potentially protect profits, hedge TechTarget Common with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
6.4464
Short Percent
0.0766
Short Ratio
6.51
Shares Short Prior Month
2.2 M
50 Day MA
5.2624

TechTarget Relative Strength Index

The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of TechTarget Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 5.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.93.

TechTarget Common Stock Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to TechTarget Common's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TechTarget. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TechTarget can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TechTarget Common Stock. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of TechTarget Common's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about TechTarget Common.

TechTarget Common Implied Volatility

    
  1.72  
TechTarget Common's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TechTarget Common Stock stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TechTarget Common's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TechTarget Common stock will not fluctuate a lot when TechTarget Common's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of TechTarget Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 5.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.93.

TechTarget Common after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TechTarget Common to cross-verify your projections.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 TechTarget Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast TechTarget Common's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in TechTarget Common's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for TechTarget Common stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current TechTarget Common's open interest, investors have to compare it to TechTarget Common's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of TechTarget Common is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in TechTarget. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

TechTarget Common Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TechTarget price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TechTarget using various technical indicators. When you analyze TechTarget charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for TechTarget Common is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

TechTarget Common Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of TechTarget Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 5.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.93.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TechTarget Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TechTarget Common's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TechTarget Common Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest TechTarget Common  TechTarget Common Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

TechTarget Common Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TechTarget Common's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TechTarget Common's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.15 and 8.73, respectively. We have considered TechTarget Common's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.38
5.44
Expected Value
8.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TechTarget Common stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TechTarget Common stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.9995
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0022
MADMean absolute deviation0.1344
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0255
SAESum of the absolute errors7.93
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of TechTarget Common Stock price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of TechTarget Common. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for TechTarget Common

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TechTarget Common Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.175.468.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.817.1010.39
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.2212.3313.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TechTarget Common. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TechTarget Common's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TechTarget Common's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TechTarget Common Stock.

TechTarget Common After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TechTarget Common at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TechTarget Common or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TechTarget Common, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TechTarget Common Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TechTarget Common's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TechTarget Common's historical news coverage. TechTarget Common's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.17 and 8.75, respectively. We have considered TechTarget Common's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.38
5.46
After-hype Price
8.75
Upside
TechTarget Common is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TechTarget Common Stock is based on 3 months time horizon.

TechTarget Common Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TechTarget Common is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TechTarget Common backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TechTarget Common, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
3.29
  0.01 
 0.00  
12 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.38
5.46
0.18 
1,495  
Notes

TechTarget Common Hype Timeline

TechTarget Common Stock is at this time traded for 5.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. TechTarget is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.46 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.18%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on TechTarget Common is about 11750.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.38. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 284.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (116.86 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 271.07 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TechTarget Common to cross-verify your projections.

TechTarget Common Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to TechTarget Common's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TechTarget Common's future price movements. Getting to know how TechTarget Common's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TechTarget Common may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PERIPerion Network 0.14 8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.82 (2.75) 14.14 
UPXIUpexi Inc 0.08 9 per month 0.00 (0.20) 11.51 (10.16) 30.97 
ZHZhihu Inc ADR(0.09)4 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.10 (4.82) 21.72 
NCMINational CineMedia(0.05)10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 4.00 (3.74) 15.70 
ATEXAnterix 0.14 9 per month 2.65  0.06  3.98 (4.36) 20.21 
THRYThryv Holdings(0.28)7 per month 0.00 (0.26) 4.32 (6.70) 31.80 
IHRTiHeartMedia Class A 0.00 6 per month 3.11  0.07  12.38 (5.73) 44.17 
MCSMarcus 0.14 6 per month 1.25  0.1  4.53 (2.82) 11.90 
GTNGray Television 0.00 11 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.91 (4.53) 13.88 
BOCBoston Omaha Corp 0.20 10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.17 (3.93) 16.99 

Other Forecasting Options for TechTarget Common

For every potential investor in TechTarget, whether a beginner or expert, TechTarget Common's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TechTarget Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TechTarget. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TechTarget Common's price trends.

TechTarget Common Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TechTarget Common stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TechTarget Common could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TechTarget Common by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TechTarget Common Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TechTarget Common stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TechTarget Common shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TechTarget Common stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TechTarget Common Stock entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TechTarget Common Risk Indicators

The analysis of TechTarget Common's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TechTarget Common's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting techtarget stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for TechTarget Common

The number of cover stories for TechTarget Common depends on current market conditions and TechTarget Common's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TechTarget Common is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TechTarget Common's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

TechTarget Common Short Properties

TechTarget Common's future price predictability will typically decrease when TechTarget Common's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TechTarget Common Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TechTarget Common's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TechTarget Common's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments353.7 M

Additional Tools for TechTarget Stock Analysis

When running TechTarget Common's price analysis, check to measure TechTarget Common's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TechTarget Common is operating at the current time. Most of TechTarget Common's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TechTarget Common's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TechTarget Common's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TechTarget Common to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.