Tile Shop Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

TTSH Stock  USD 3.64  0.09  2.54%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tile Shop Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.52. Tile Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tile Shop's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 10th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Tile Shop's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Tile Shop's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tile Shop Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Tile Shop's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.68)
Wall Street Target Price
9
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Using Tile Shop hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tile Shop Holdings from the perspective of Tile Shop response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tile Shop using Tile Shop's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tile using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tile Shop's stock price.

Tile Shop Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Tile Shop's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Tile. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Tile Shop stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
6.3905
Short Percent
0.0395
Short Ratio
3.48
Shares Short Prior Month
623.7 K
50 Day MA
6.2622

Tile Shop Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Tile Shop's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tile. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tile can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tile Shop Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Tile Shop's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Tile Shop.

Tile Shop Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Tile Shop's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tile Shop Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tile Shop's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tile Shop stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tile Shop's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tile Shop Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.52.

Tile Shop after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.38  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tile Shop to cross-verify your projections.
The Tile Shop's current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 2.13, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 0.96. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 49.8 M. The current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to decrease to about 8.7 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Tile Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Tile Shop's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Tile Shop's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Tile Shop stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Tile Shop's open interest, investors have to compare it to Tile Shop's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Tile Shop is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Tile. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Tile Shop Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Tile price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tile using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tile charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Tile Shop simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Tile Shop Holdings are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Tile Shop Holdings prices get older.

Tile Shop Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tile Shop Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tile Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tile Shop's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tile Shop Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Tile ShopTile Shop Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Tile Shop Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tile Shop's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tile Shop's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 8.10, respectively. We have considered Tile Shop's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.64
3.64
Expected Value
8.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tile Shop stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tile Shop stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.2712
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.043
MADMean absolute deviation0.1069
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.023
SAESum of the absolute errors6.52
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Tile Shop Holdings forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Tile Shop observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Tile Shop

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tile Shop Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tile Shop's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.387.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.444.909.36
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.199.009.99
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Tile Shop

For every potential investor in Tile, whether a beginner or expert, Tile Shop's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tile Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tile. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tile Shop's price trends.

Tile Shop Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tile Shop stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tile Shop could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tile Shop by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tile Shop Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tile Shop's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tile Shop's current price.

Tile Shop Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tile Shop stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tile Shop shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tile Shop stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tile Shop Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tile Shop Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tile Shop's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tile Shop's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tile stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Tile Shop Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tile Shop's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tile Shop Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tile Shop Holdings Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tile Shop to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Home Improvement Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tile Shop. If investors know Tile will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tile Shop listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.68)
Earnings Share
(0.04)
Revenue Per Share
7.723
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Return On Assets
(0)
The market value of Tile Shop Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tile that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tile Shop's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tile Shop's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tile Shop's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tile Shop's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tile Shop's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tile Shop is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tile Shop's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.