Tile Shop Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| TTSH Stock | USD 3.65 0.03 0.83% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tile Shop Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.43. Tile Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tile Shop's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Tile Shop's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | Wall Street Target Price 9 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
Using Tile Shop hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tile Shop Holdings from the perspective of Tile Shop response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tile Shop using Tile Shop's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tile using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tile Shop's stock price.
Tile Shop Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Tile Shop's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Tile. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Tile Shop stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 6.3905 | Short Percent 0.0395 | Short Ratio 3.48 | Shares Short Prior Month 623.7 K | 50 Day MA 6.2622 |
Tile Shop Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Tile Shop's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tile. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tile can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tile Shop Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Tile Shop Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Tile Shop's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tile Shop Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tile Shop's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tile Shop stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tile Shop's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tile Shop Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.43. Tile Shop after-hype prediction price | USD 4.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tile Shop to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Tile Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Tile Shop's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Tile Shop's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Tile Shop stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Tile Shop's open interest, investors have to compare it to Tile Shop's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Tile Shop is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Tile. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Tile Shop Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tile price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tile using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tile charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tile Shop Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tile Shop Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tile Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tile Shop's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tile Shop Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tile Shop | Tile Shop Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Tile Shop Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tile Shop's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tile Shop's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 8.52, respectively. We have considered Tile Shop's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tile Shop stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tile Shop stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.9816 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0662 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1405 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0326 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.43 |
Predictive Modules for Tile Shop
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tile Shop Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tile Shop's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tile Shop After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tile Shop at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tile Shop or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tile Shop, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tile Shop Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tile Shop's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tile Shop's historical news coverage. Tile Shop's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.24 and 9.59, respectively. We have considered Tile Shop's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tile Shop is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tile Shop Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tile Shop Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tile Shop is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tile Shop backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tile Shop, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.77 | 4.87 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.65 | 4.72 | 30.39 |
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Tile Shop Hype Timeline
Tile Shop Holdings is at this time traded for 3.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Tile is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.72 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 30.39%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.77%. The volatility of related hype on Tile Shop is about 3778.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.75. Tile Shop Holdings currently holds 142.58 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.02, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Tile Shop Holdings has a current ratio of 1.39, which is within standard range for the sector. Note, when we think about Tile Shop's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tile Shop to cross-verify your projections.Tile Shop Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tile Shop's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tile Shop's future price movements. Getting to know how Tile Shop's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tile Shop may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HVT | Haverty Furniture Companies | 0.13 | 8 per month | 1.18 | 0.17 | 4.57 | (2.43) | 10.49 | |
| WEYS | Weyco Group | 0.09 | 7 per month | 3.08 | 0.02 | 4.68 | (2.83) | 27.19 | |
| STRT | Strattec Security | 2.83 | 10 per month | 2.79 | 0.08 | 6.21 | (3.54) | 18.40 | |
| CDRO | Codere Online Corp | 0.05 | 5 per month | 1.66 | 0.09 | 5.98 | (3.51) | 13.32 | |
| MOV | Movado Group | (0.07) | 8 per month | 1.70 | 0.11 | 4.31 | (3.10) | 10.14 | |
| ONEW | Onewater Marine | (0.14) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.13 | (5.54) | 16.58 | |
| CTRN | Citi Trends | (1.35) | 11 per month | 2.53 | 0.09 | 4.68 | (4.27) | 12.41 | |
| JACK | Jack In The | (0.26) | 11 per month | 3.93 | 0.07 | 8.01 | (7.01) | 22.15 | |
| MPX | Marine Products | (0.12) | 10 per month | 2.24 | 0.06 | 3.28 | (3.41) | 10.53 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tile Shop
For every potential investor in Tile, whether a beginner or expert, Tile Shop's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tile Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tile. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tile Shop's price trends.Tile Shop Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tile Shop stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tile Shop could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tile Shop by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tile Shop Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tile Shop stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tile Shop shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tile Shop stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tile Shop Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3.49 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 3.0 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.66 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.65 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.03 |
Tile Shop Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tile Shop's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tile Shop's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tile stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.7 | |||
| Variance | 22.07 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tile Shop
The number of cover stories for Tile Shop depends on current market conditions and Tile Shop's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tile Shop is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tile Shop's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tile Shop Short Properties
Tile Shop's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tile Shop's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tile Shop Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tile Shop's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tile Shop's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tile Shop to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Home Improvement Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tile Shop. If investors know Tile will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tile Shop listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | Earnings Share (0.04) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Tile Shop Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tile that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tile Shop's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tile Shop's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tile Shop's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tile Shop's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tile Shop's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tile Shop is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tile Shop's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.