UMB Financial Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| UMBF Stock | USD 134.32 2.26 1.71% |
UMB Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of UMB Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of UMB Financial's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.126 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.6976 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.98 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.112 | Wall Street Target Price 145.4167 |
Using UMB Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of UMB Financial from the perspective of UMB Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards UMB Financial using UMB Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards UMB using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of UMB Financial's stock price.
UMB Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in UMB Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards UMB. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of UMB Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 112.5041 | Short Percent 0.0439 | Short Ratio 5.96 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.8 M | 50 Day MA 119.7386 |
UMB Relative Strength Index
UMB Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to UMB Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in UMB. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding UMB can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around UMB Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of UMB Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about UMB Financial.
UMB Financial Implied Volatility | 0.55 |
UMB Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of UMB Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if UMB Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that UMB Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when UMB Financial's options are near their expiration.
UMB Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 135.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of UMB Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current UMB contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that UMB Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With UMB Financial trading at USD 134.32, that is roughly USD 0.0462 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating UMB Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring UMB Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 UMB Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast UMB Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in UMB Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for UMB Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current UMB Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to UMB Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of UMB Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in UMB. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
UMB Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine UMB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for UMB using various technical indicators. When you analyze UMB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 13965.07 | 0.0196 |
| Check UMB Financial Volatility | Backtest UMB Financial | Information Ratio |
UMB Financial Trading Date Momentum
| On February 07 2026 UMB Financial was traded for 134.32 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 136.11 and the lowest listed price was 133.44 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 7, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 0.37% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare UMB Financial to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for UMB Financial
For every potential investor in UMB, whether a beginner or expert, UMB Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. UMB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in UMB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying UMB Financial's price trends.UMB Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with UMB Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of UMB Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UMB Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
UMB Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how UMB Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading UMB Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying UMB Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify UMB Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
UMB Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of UMB Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in UMB Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting umb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.849 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Variance | 2.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7208 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.70) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for UMB Financial
The number of cover stories for UMB Financial depends on current market conditions and UMB Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that UMB Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about UMB Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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UMB Financial Short Properties
UMB Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when UMB Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of UMB Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential UMB Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UMB Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 76.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 952.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of UMB Financial to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in UMB Stock please use our How to Invest in UMB Financial guide.You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Can Regional Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does UMB have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of UMB Financial. If investors know UMB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating UMB Financial demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.126 | Dividend Share 1.63 | Earnings Share 9.29 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.676 |
UMB Financial's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on UMB's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate UMB Financial's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since UMB Financial's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UMB Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UMB Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UMB Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.