Upstart Holdings Stock Forecast - Relative Strength Index
| UPST Stock | USD 46.28 0.19 0.41% |
Upstart Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Upstart Holdings' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.091 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5209 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6719 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.3947 | Wall Street Target Price 56.6429 |
Using Upstart Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Upstart Holdings from the perspective of Upstart Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Upstart Holdings using Upstart Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Upstart using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Upstart Holdings' stock price.
Upstart Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Upstart Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Upstart Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Upstart Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 54.8624 | Short Percent 0.3122 | Short Ratio 6.03 | Shares Short Prior Month 23 M | 50 Day MA 44.5238 |
Upstart Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Upstart Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Upstart. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Upstart can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Upstart Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Upstart Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.75 |
Upstart Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Upstart Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Upstart Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Upstart Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Upstart Holdings' options are near their expiration.
Upstart Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 46.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Upstart Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Upstart contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Upstart Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0469% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Upstart Holdings trading at USD 46.28, that is roughly USD 0.0217 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Upstart Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Upstart Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.75%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Upstart Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Upstart Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Upstart Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Upstart Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Upstart Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Upstart Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Upstart Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Upstart. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Upstart Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Upstart price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Upstart using various technical indicators. When you analyze Upstart charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Check Upstart Holdings Volatility | Backtest Upstart Holdings | Information Ratio |
Upstart Holdings Trading Date Momentum
| On January 23 2026 Upstart Holdings was traded for 46.28 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 46.28 and the lowest listed price was 46.09 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 23, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 0.41% . |
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Other Forecasting Options for Upstart Holdings
For every potential investor in Upstart, whether a beginner or expert, Upstart Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Upstart Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Upstart. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Upstart Holdings' price trends.Upstart Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Upstart Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Upstart Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Upstart Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Upstart Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Upstart Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Upstart Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Upstart Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Upstart Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Upstart Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Upstart Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Upstart Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting upstart stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.36 | |||
| Variance | 19.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 23.49 | |||
| Semi Variance | 21.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.10) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Upstart Holdings
The number of cover stories for Upstart Holdings depends on current market conditions and Upstart Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Upstart Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Upstart Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Upstart Holdings Short Properties
Upstart Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Upstart Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Upstart Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Upstart Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Upstart Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 793.6 M |
Additional Tools for Upstart Stock Analysis
When running Upstart Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Upstart Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Upstart Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Upstart Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Upstart Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Upstart Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Upstart Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.