United Maritime Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| USEA Stock | USD 1.85 0.01 0.54% |
United Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast United Maritime stock prices and determine the direction of United Maritime's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of United Maritime's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The value of relative strength index of United Maritime's share price is at 54. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling United Maritime, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using United Maritime hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Maritime from the perspective of United Maritime response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Maritime on the next trading day is expected to be 1.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.72. United Maritime after-hype prediction price | USD 1.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of United Maritime to cross-verify your projections. United Maritime Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
United Maritime Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Maritime on the next trading day is expected to be 1.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict United Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that United Maritime's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
United Maritime Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest United Maritime | United Maritime Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
United Maritime Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting United Maritime's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. United Maritime's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.38, respectively. We have considered United Maritime's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of United Maritime stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent United Maritime stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.7595 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0043 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0453 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0266 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.72 |
Predictive Modules for United Maritime
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Maritime. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Maritime's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
United Maritime After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of United Maritime at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United Maritime or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of United Maritime, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
United Maritime Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting United Maritime's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United Maritime's historical news coverage. United Maritime's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 5.38, respectively. We have considered United Maritime's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
United Maritime is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Maritime is based on 3 months time horizon.
United Maritime Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as United Maritime is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Maritime backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Maritime, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 3.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.85 | 1.85 | 0.00 |
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United Maritime Hype Timeline
United Maritime is at this time traded for 1.85. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. United is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on United Maritime is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.85. About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.27. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. United Maritime recorded a loss per share of 0.48. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of United Maritime to cross-verify your projections.United Maritime Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to United Maritime's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United Maritime's future price movements. Getting to know how United Maritime's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United Maritime may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CTRM | Castor Maritime | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.83 | (0.02) | 6.25 | (4.98) | 18.43 | |
| PSIG | PS International Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.95 | 0.02 | 8.05 | (4.92) | 18.09 | |
| AQMS | Aqua Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 11.04 | (10.10) | 58.35 | |
| CCTG | CCSC Technology International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 10.71 | (27.51) | 61.78 | |
| ZDAI | Primega Group Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.22 | 0.1 | 19.57 | (8.82) | 57.23 | |
| GFAI | Guardforce AI Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 10.94 | (9.23) | 25.97 | |
| ELPW | Elong Power Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 10.00 | (24.54) | 45.14 | |
| EHLD | Euroholdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.74 | (2.10) | 9.31 | |
| LBGJ | Li Bang International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.57 | 0.05 | 7.94 | (7.81) | 32.34 | |
| OFAL | OFAL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 6.85 | (11.11) | 27.88 |
Other Forecasting Options for United Maritime
For every potential investor in United, whether a beginner or expert, United Maritime's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. United Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in United. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying United Maritime's price trends.United Maritime Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with United Maritime stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of United Maritime could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United Maritime by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
United Maritime Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how United Maritime stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading United Maritime shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying United Maritime stock market strength indicators, traders can identify United Maritime entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
United Maritime Risk Indicators
The analysis of United Maritime's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in United Maritime's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting united stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.55 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.53 | |||
| Variance | 12.49 | |||
| Downside Variance | 21.15 | |||
| Semi Variance | 15.75 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for United Maritime
The number of cover stories for United Maritime depends on current market conditions and United Maritime's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that United Maritime is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about United Maritime's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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United Maritime Short Properties
United Maritime's future price predictability will typically decrease when United Maritime's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of United Maritime often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential United Maritime's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Maritime's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of United Maritime to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade United Stock refer to our How to Trade United Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Maritime. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Maritime listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of United Maritime is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Maritime's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Maritime's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Maritime's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Maritime's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Maritime's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Maritime is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Maritime's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.