Vale SA Stock Forward View - Price Action Indicator
| VALE Stock | USD 16.74 0.05 0.30% |
Vale Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Vale SA stock prices and determine the direction of Vale SA ADR's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Vale SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of Vale SA's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Vale SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vale SA ADR from the perspective of Vale SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Vale SA after-hype prediction price | USD 16.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vale SA to cross-verify your projections. Vale SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vale price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vale using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vale charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| 0.32 | (0.01) |
| Check Vale SA Volatility | Backtest Vale SA | Information Ratio |
Vale SA Trading Date Momentum
| On February 10 2026 Vale SA ADR was traded for 16.74 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 16.87 and the lowest listed price was 16.59 . The trading volume for the day was 23.5 M. The trading history from February 10, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 0.18% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Vale SA to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Vale SA
For every potential investor in Vale, whether a beginner or expert, Vale SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vale Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vale. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vale SA's price trends.Vale SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vale SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vale SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vale SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vale SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vale SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vale SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vale SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vale SA ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 389712.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.18) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 16.73 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 16.73 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.05) |
Vale SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vale SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vale SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vale stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Variance | 5.62 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.16 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.08 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Vale SA
The number of cover stories for Vale SA depends on current market conditions and Vale SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vale SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vale SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vale SA Short Properties
Vale SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vale SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vale SA ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vale SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vale SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vale SA to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Vale diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vale SA. If investors know Vale will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Vale SA data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of Vale SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vale that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vale SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vale SA's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Vale SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vale SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vale SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vale SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Vale SA's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.