Virco Manufacturing Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| VIRC Stock | USD 6.29 0.10 1.56% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Virco Manufacturing on the next trading day is expected to be 6.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.56. Virco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Virco Manufacturing stock prices and determine the direction of Virco Manufacturing's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Virco Manufacturing's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Virco Manufacturing's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.71 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.78 | Wall Street Target Price 7.3 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.47 |
Using Virco Manufacturing hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Virco Manufacturing from the perspective of Virco Manufacturing response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Virco Manufacturing using Virco Manufacturing's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Virco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Virco Manufacturing's stock price.
Virco Manufacturing Implied Volatility | 1.15 |
Virco Manufacturing's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Virco Manufacturing stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Virco Manufacturing's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Virco Manufacturing stock will not fluctuate a lot when Virco Manufacturing's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Virco Manufacturing on the next trading day is expected to be 6.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.56. Virco Manufacturing after-hype prediction price | USD 6.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Virco Manufacturing to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Virco Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Virco Manufacturing's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Virco Manufacturing's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Virco Manufacturing stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Virco Manufacturing's open interest, investors have to compare it to Virco Manufacturing's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Virco Manufacturing is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Virco. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Virco Manufacturing Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Virco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Virco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Virco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Virco Manufacturing Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Virco Manufacturing on the next trading day is expected to be 6.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Virco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Virco Manufacturing's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Virco Manufacturing Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Virco Manufacturing | Virco Manufacturing Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Virco Manufacturing Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Virco Manufacturing's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Virco Manufacturing's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.30 and 8.66, respectively. We have considered Virco Manufacturing's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Virco Manufacturing stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Virco Manufacturing stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.4677 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2223 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0322 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.5628 |
Predictive Modules for Virco Manufacturing
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Virco Manufacturing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Virco Manufacturing
For every potential investor in Virco, whether a beginner or expert, Virco Manufacturing's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Virco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Virco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Virco Manufacturing's price trends.Virco Manufacturing Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Virco Manufacturing stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Virco Manufacturing could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Virco Manufacturing by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Virco Manufacturing Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Virco Manufacturing's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Virco Manufacturing's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Virco Manufacturing Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Virco Manufacturing stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Virco Manufacturing shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Virco Manufacturing stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Virco Manufacturing entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Virco Manufacturing Risk Indicators
The analysis of Virco Manufacturing's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Virco Manufacturing's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting virco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Variance | 4.76 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Virco Manufacturing to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Virco Stock refer to our How to Trade Virco Stock guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Virco Manufacturing. If investors know Virco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Virco Manufacturing listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | Dividend Share 0.1 | Earnings Share 0.26 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.42) |
The market value of Virco Manufacturing is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Virco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Virco Manufacturing's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Virco Manufacturing's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Virco Manufacturing's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Virco Manufacturing's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Virco Manufacturing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virco Manufacturing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virco Manufacturing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.