Vital Farms Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

VITL Stock  USD 28.45  0.32  1.14%   
Vital Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Vital Farms' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Vital Farms' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Vital Farms fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Vital Farms' share price is approaching 44. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vital Farms, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Vital Farms' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Vital Farms and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Vital Farms' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vital Farms, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Vital Farms' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.25
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3744
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.48
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.705
Wall Street Target Price
49.4546
Using Vital Farms hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vital Farms from the perspective of Vital Farms response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vital Farms using Vital Farms' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vital using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vital Farms' stock price.

Vital Farms Short Interest

An investor who is long Vital Farms may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Vital Farms and may potentially protect profits, hedge Vital Farms with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
36.954
Short Percent
0.3545
Short Ratio
6.98
Shares Short Prior Month
10 M
50 Day MA
31.2248

Vital Relative Strength Index

Vital Farms Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Vital Farms' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vital. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vital can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vital Farms. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Vital Farms' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Vital Farms.

Vital Farms Implied Volatility

    
  0.84  
Vital Farms' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vital Farms stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vital Farms' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vital Farms stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vital Farms' options are near their expiration.

Vital Farms after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 28.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vital Farms to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Vital Stock please use our How to buy in Vital Stock guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vital contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vital Farms will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0525% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Vital Farms trading at USD 28.45, that is roughly USD 0.0149 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vital Farms' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vital Farms options at the current volatility level of 0.84%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Vital Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Vital Farms' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Vital Farms' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Vital Farms stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Vital Farms' open interest, investors have to compare it to Vital Farms' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Vital Farms is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Vital. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Vital Farms Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vital price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vital using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vital charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Vital Farms has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.0617. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Vital Farms is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Vital Farms to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Vital Farms trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Vital Farms VolatilityBacktest Vital FarmsInformation Ratio  

Vital Farms Trading Date Momentum

On January 30 2026 Vital Farms was traded for  28.45  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 28.99  and the lowest listed price was  27.20 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 30, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 1.12% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Vital Farms to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Vital Farms

For every potential investor in Vital, whether a beginner or expert, Vital Farms' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vital Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vital Farms' price trends.

Vital Farms Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vital Farms stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vital Farms could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vital Farms by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vital Farms Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vital Farms stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vital Farms shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vital Farms stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vital Farms entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vital Farms Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vital Farms' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vital Farms' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vital stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Vital Farms

The number of cover stories for Vital Farms depends on current market conditions and Vital Farms' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vital Farms is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vital Farms' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Vital Farms Short Properties

Vital Farms' future price predictability will typically decrease when Vital Farms' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vital Farms often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vital Farms' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vital Farms' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments160.3 M
When determining whether Vital Farms is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vital Farms' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vital Farms' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vital Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vital Farms to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Vital Stock please use our How to buy in Vital Stock guide.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vital Farms. If investors know Vital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Vital Farms assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.25
Earnings Share
1.32
Revenue Per Share
16.05
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.372
Return On Assets
0.121
The market value of Vital Farms is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vital Farms' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vital Farms' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vital Farms' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vital Farms' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vital Farms' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vital Farms is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Vital Farms' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.