VeriSign Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| VRSN Stock | USD 244.21 9.29 3.66% |
VeriSign Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although VeriSign's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of VeriSign's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of VeriSign fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength indicator of VeriSign's share price is approaching 47. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling VeriSign, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.097 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.26 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.8583 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.5342 | Wall Street Target Price 290.75 |
Using VeriSign hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VeriSign from the perspective of VeriSign response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards VeriSign using VeriSign's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards VeriSign using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of VeriSign's stock price.
VeriSign Short Interest
An investor who is long VeriSign may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about VeriSign and may potentially protect profits, hedge VeriSign with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 266.3035 | Short Percent 0.039 | Short Ratio 4.49 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.4 M | 50 Day MA 247.6484 |
VeriSign Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VeriSign on the next trading day is expected to be 244.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 130.17.VeriSign Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to VeriSign's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in VeriSign. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding VeriSign can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around VeriSign. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of VeriSign's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about VeriSign.
VeriSign Implied Volatility | 0.35 |
VeriSign's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of VeriSign stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if VeriSign's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that VeriSign stock will not fluctuate a lot when VeriSign's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VeriSign on the next trading day is expected to be 244.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 130.17. VeriSign after-hype prediction price | USD 244.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VeriSign to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current VeriSign contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that VeriSign will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0219% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With VeriSign trading at USD 244.21, that is roughly USD 0.0534 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating VeriSign's daily price movement you should consider acquiring VeriSign options at the current volatility level of 0.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 VeriSign Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast VeriSign's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in VeriSign's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for VeriSign stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current VeriSign's open interest, investors have to compare it to VeriSign's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of VeriSign is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in VeriSign. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
VeriSign Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VeriSign price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VeriSign using various technical indicators. When you analyze VeriSign charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VeriSign Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VeriSign on the next trading day is expected to be 244.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.17, mean absolute percentage error of 8.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 130.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VeriSign Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VeriSign's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VeriSign Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest VeriSign | VeriSign Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
VeriSign Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VeriSign's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VeriSign's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 243.79 and 246.20, respectively. We have considered VeriSign's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VeriSign stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VeriSign stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.3547 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0285 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.1696 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0088 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 130.1736 |
Predictive Modules for VeriSign
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VeriSign. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VeriSign's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VeriSign After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VeriSign at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VeriSign or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of VeriSign, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VeriSign Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VeriSign's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VeriSign's historical news coverage. VeriSign's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 243.02 and 245.42, respectively. We have considered VeriSign's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VeriSign is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VeriSign is based on 3 months time horizon.
VeriSign Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as VeriSign is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VeriSign backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VeriSign, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.20 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
244.21 | 244.22 | 0.00 |
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VeriSign Hype Timeline
VeriSign is at this time traded for 244.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. VeriSign is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 136.36%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on VeriSign is about 335.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 244.21. About 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.88. VeriSign recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.57. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 7th of December 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VeriSign to cross-verify your projections.VeriSign Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VeriSign's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VeriSign's future price movements. Getting to know how VeriSign's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VeriSign may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CHKP | Check Point Software | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.18 | (2.74) | 9.86 | |
| GDDY | Godaddy | (2.33) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 1.77 | (3.27) | 9.52 | |
| IOT | Samsara | (0.1) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.15 | (5.00) | 19.39 | |
| AFRM | Affirm Holdings | 1.22 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 6.01 | (5.17) | 18.92 | |
| TOST | Toast Inc | 0.80 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.14 | (4.25) | 16.25 | |
| CPAY | Corpay Inc | 9.04 | 6 per month | 1.81 | 0.07 | 3.76 | (3.06) | 11.04 | |
| PTC | PTC Inc | (0.16) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 1.93 | (3.01) | 9.03 | |
| SSNC | SSC Technologies Holdings | (1.55) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.52 | (2.13) | 4.96 | |
| FLEX | Flex | (2.84) | 9 per month | 2.58 | 0 | 5.23 | (4.13) | 12.35 | |
| GEN | Gen Digital | (0.49) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.03 | (3.23) | 7.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for VeriSign
For every potential investor in VeriSign, whether a beginner or expert, VeriSign's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VeriSign Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VeriSign. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VeriSign's price trends.VeriSign Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VeriSign stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VeriSign could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VeriSign by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VeriSign Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VeriSign stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VeriSign shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VeriSign stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VeriSign entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 244.21 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 244.21 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (4.64) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (9.29) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.85 |
VeriSign Risk Indicators
The analysis of VeriSign's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VeriSign's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting verisign stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9874 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Variance | 1.74 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VeriSign
The number of cover stories for VeriSign depends on current market conditions and VeriSign's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VeriSign is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VeriSign's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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VeriSign Short Properties
VeriSign's future price predictability will typically decrease when VeriSign's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of VeriSign often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential VeriSign's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VeriSign's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 98.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 599.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VeriSign to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in VeriSign Stock, please use our How to Invest in VeriSign guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Will Internet Services & Infrastructure sector continue expanding? Could VeriSign diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of VeriSign. If investors know VeriSign will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every VeriSign data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.097 | Dividend Share 1.54 | Earnings Share 8.57 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.073 |
Investors evaluate VeriSign using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating VeriSign's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause VeriSign's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VeriSign's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VeriSign is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, VeriSign's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.