V2X Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

VVX Stock  USD 67.89  0.61  0.91%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of V2X Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 73.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.61. V2X Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of V2X's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of V2X's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with V2X Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting V2X's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.638
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.3989
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.0213
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.6685
Wall Street Target Price
67.5833
Using V2X hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of V2X Inc from the perspective of V2X response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards V2X using V2X's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards V2X using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of V2X's stock price.

V2X Short Interest

An investor who is long V2X may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about V2X and may potentially protect profits, hedge V2X with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
52.7956
Short Percent
0.0537
Short Ratio
2
Shares Short Prior Month
723.1 K
50 Day MA
56.019

V2X Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to V2X's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in V2X. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding V2X can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around V2X Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of V2X's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about V2X.

V2X Implied Volatility

    
  0.53  
V2X's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of V2X Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if V2X's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that V2X stock will not fluctuate a lot when V2X's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of V2X Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 73.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.61.

V2X after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 67.42  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of V2X to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, V2X's Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to rise to 9.42 in 2026, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 6.07 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to rise to about 38.6 M in 2026. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to rise to about 32.8 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 V2X Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast V2X's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in V2X's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for V2X stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current V2X's open interest, investors have to compare it to V2X's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of V2X is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in V2X. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

V2X Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine V2X price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for V2X using various technical indicators. When you analyze V2X charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the V2X's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2013-03-31
Previous Quarter
190.5 M
Current Value
179.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
51.7 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for V2X is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of V2X Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

V2X Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of V2X Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 73.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01, mean absolute percentage error of 1.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict V2X Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that V2X's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

V2X Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest V2XV2X Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

V2X Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting V2X's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. V2X's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.03 and 75.31, respectively. We have considered V2X's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
67.89
73.17
Expected Value
75.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of V2X stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent V2X stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5321
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.01
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0177
SAESum of the absolute errors61.6128
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of V2X Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict V2X. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for V2X

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as V2X Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of V2X's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
65.2867.4269.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.1159.2574.68
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
61.5067.5875.02
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.031.131.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for V2X

For every potential investor in V2X, whether a beginner or expert, V2X's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. V2X Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in V2X. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying V2X's price trends.

V2X Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with V2X stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of V2X could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing V2X by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

V2X Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of V2X's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of V2X's current price.

V2X Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how V2X stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading V2X shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying V2X stock market strength indicators, traders can identify V2X Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

V2X Risk Indicators

The analysis of V2X's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in V2X's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting v2x stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for V2X Stock Analysis

When running V2X's price analysis, check to measure V2X's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy V2X is operating at the current time. Most of V2X's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of V2X's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move V2X's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of V2X to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.