V2X Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| VVX Stock | USD 65.27 1.13 1.70% |
V2X Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of V2X's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.638 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.3989 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.0213 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.6685 | Wall Street Target Price 67.8333 |
Using V2X hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of V2X Inc from the perspective of V2X response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards V2X using V2X's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards V2X using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of V2X's stock price.
V2X Short Interest
An investor who is long V2X may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about V2X and may potentially protect profits, hedge V2X with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 54.2505 | Short Percent 0.0453 | Short Ratio 1.51 | Shares Short Prior Month 598.3 K | 50 Day MA 59.803 |
V2X Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of V2X Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 65.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.04.V2X Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to V2X's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in V2X. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding V2X can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around V2X Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of V2X's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about V2X.
V2X Implied Volatility | 0.59 |
V2X's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of V2X Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if V2X's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that V2X stock will not fluctuate a lot when V2X's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of V2X Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 65.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.04. V2X after-hype prediction price | USD 65.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of V2X to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current V2X contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that V2X Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0369% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With V2X trading at USD 65.27, that is roughly USD 0.0241 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating V2X's daily price movement you should consider acquiring V2X Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 V2X Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast V2X's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in V2X's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for V2X stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current V2X's open interest, investors have to compare it to V2X's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of V2X is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in V2X. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
V2X Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine V2X price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for V2X using various technical indicators. When you analyze V2X charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
V2X Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of V2X Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 65.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 1.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict V2X Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that V2X's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
V2X Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest V2X | V2X Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
V2X Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting V2X's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. V2X's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 63.22 and 67.32, respectively. We have considered V2X's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of V2X stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent V2X stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.6244 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.158 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.884 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0149 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 53.04 |
Predictive Modules for V2X
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as V2X Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of V2X's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
V2X After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of V2X at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in V2X or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of V2X, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
V2X Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting V2X's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on V2X's historical news coverage. V2X's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 63.22 and 67.32, respectively. We have considered V2X's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
V2X is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of V2X Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
V2X Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as V2X is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading V2X backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with V2X, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 2.05 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
65.27 | 65.27 | 0.00 |
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V2X Hype Timeline
On the 6th of February V2X Inc is traded for 65.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.24. V2X is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on V2X is about 228.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 65.51. About 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.88. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. V2X Inc has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 110.05. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had a split on the 4th of September 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of V2X to cross-verify your projections.V2X Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to V2X's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict V2X's future price movements. Getting to know how V2X's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how V2X may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CDRE | Cadre Holdings | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.07 | (3.69) | 10.56 | |
| VOYG | Voyager Technologies | 1.67 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.91 | (8.91) | 22.80 | |
| SCS | Steelcase | (0.18) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.68 | (1.45) | 6.67 | |
| HNI | HNI Corp | 0.55 | 9 per month | 0.63 | 0.23 | 2.93 | (1.55) | 6.56 | |
| CECO | CECO Environmental Corp | 2.06 | 9 per month | 2.33 | 0.21 | 4.25 | (4.14) | 13.46 | |
| PBI | Pitney Bowes | (0.30) | 9 per month | 1.41 | 0.04 | 2.65 | (2.42) | 9.16 | |
| DXPE | DXP Enterprises | 2.53 | 24 per month | 4.46 | 0.07 | 4.42 | (3.76) | 18.99 | |
| ATRO | Astronics | 1.85 | 10 per month | 2.02 | 0.19 | 6.28 | (3.84) | 18.76 | |
| ROCK | Gibraltar Industries | (0.05) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.00 | (3.96) | 23.65 |
Other Forecasting Options for V2X
For every potential investor in V2X, whether a beginner or expert, V2X's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. V2X Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in V2X. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying V2X's price trends.V2X Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with V2X stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of V2X could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing V2X by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
V2X Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how V2X stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading V2X shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying V2X stock market strength indicators, traders can identify V2X Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
V2X Risk Indicators
The analysis of V2X's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in V2X's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting v2x stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Variance | 4.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.25 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.6 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for V2X
The number of cover stories for V2X depends on current market conditions and V2X's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that V2X is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about V2X's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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V2X Short Properties
V2X's future price predictability will typically decrease when V2X's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of V2X Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential V2X's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. V2X's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 268.3 M |
Additional Tools for V2X Stock Analysis
When running V2X's price analysis, check to measure V2X's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy V2X is operating at the current time. Most of V2X's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of V2X's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move V2X's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of V2X to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.