Weis Markets Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| WMK Stock | USD 68.74 0.07 0.10% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Weis Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 70.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.67. Weis Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Weis Markets' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Weis Markets' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Weis Markets fundamentals over time.
As of now the value of rsi of Weis Markets' share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Wall Street Target Price 31 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.044 |
Using Weis Markets hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Weis Markets from the perspective of Weis Markets response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Weis Markets using Weis Markets' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Weis using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Weis Markets' stock price.
Weis Markets Short Interest
An investor who is long Weis Markets may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Weis Markets and may potentially protect profits, hedge Weis Markets with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 72.0718 | Short Percent 0.0945 | Short Ratio 9.27 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.4 M | 50 Day MA 66.166 |
Weis Markets Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Weis Markets' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Weis. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Weis can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Weis Markets. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Weis Markets Implied Volatility | 0.54 |
Weis Markets' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Weis Markets stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Weis Markets' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Weis Markets stock will not fluctuate a lot when Weis Markets' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Weis Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 70.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.67. Weis Markets after-hype prediction price | USD 68.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Weis Markets to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Weis contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Weis Markets will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Weis Markets trading at USD 68.74, that is roughly USD 0.0232 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Weis Markets' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Weis Markets options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Weis Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Weis Markets' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Weis Markets' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Weis Markets stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Weis Markets' open interest, investors have to compare it to Weis Markets' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Weis Markets is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Weis. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Weis Markets Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Weis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Weis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Weis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Weis Markets Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Weis Markets' financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 61.9 M | Current Value 54.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 61.3 M |
Weis Markets Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Weis Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 70.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80, mean absolute percentage error of 0.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.67.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Weis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Weis Markets' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Weis Markets Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Weis Markets | Weis Markets Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Weis Markets Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Weis Markets' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Weis Markets' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 69.48 and 72.20, respectively. We have considered Weis Markets' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Weis Markets stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Weis Markets stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.0688 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7979 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0121 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 48.6749 |
Predictive Modules for Weis Markets
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Weis Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Weis Markets After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Weis Markets at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Weis Markets or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Weis Markets, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Weis Markets Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Weis Markets' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Weis Markets' historical news coverage. Weis Markets' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 67.37 and 70.11, respectively. We have considered Weis Markets' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Weis Markets is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Weis Markets is based on 3 months time horizon.
Weis Markets Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Weis Markets is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Weis Markets backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Weis Markets, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.36 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
68.74 | 68.74 | 0.00 |
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Weis Markets Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January Weis Markets is traded for 68.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Weis is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Weis Markets is about 337.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 68.70. About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.27. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Weis Markets last dividend was issued on the 10th of November 2025. The entity had 3:2 split on the 26th of May 1987. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Weis Markets to cross-verify your projections.Weis Markets Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Weis Markets' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Weis Markets' future price movements. Getting to know how Weis Markets' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Weis Markets may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IMKTA | Ingles Markets Incorporated | (2.66) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.21 | (2.41) | 7.85 | |
| ANDE | The Andersons | 0.51 | 15 per month | 1.41 | 0.15 | 4.37 | (2.24) | 7.65 | |
| GO | Grocery Outlet Holding | (0.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 3.12 | (4.94) | 12.67 | |
| JJSF | J J Snack | 0.02 | 11 per month | 1.55 | (0.03) | 2.79 | (2.71) | 9.39 | |
| UTI | Universal Technical Institute | (0.42) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.86 | (4.31) | 25.31 | |
| TR | Tootsie Roll Industries | 2.84 | 29 per month | 1.08 | 0.02 | 2.76 | (1.65) | 8.05 | |
| NOMD | Nomad Foods | (4.90) | 5 per month | 1.16 | (0.05) | 1.82 | (2.18) | 8.79 | |
| STRA | Strategic Education | 0.57 | 9 per month | 2.18 | 0.02 | 2.39 | (4.08) | 12.29 | |
| FDP | Fresh Del Monte | 0.51 | 13 per month | 1.57 | 0.04 | 2.19 | (2.84) | 8.48 | |
| CENT | Central Garden Pet | (0.43) | 26 per month | 1.50 | 0 | 2.27 | (2.66) | 11.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for Weis Markets
For every potential investor in Weis, whether a beginner or expert, Weis Markets' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Weis Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Weis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Weis Markets' price trends.Weis Markets Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Weis Markets stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Weis Markets could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Weis Markets by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Weis Markets Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Weis Markets stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Weis Markets shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Weis Markets stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Weis Markets entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Weis Markets Risk Indicators
The analysis of Weis Markets' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Weis Markets' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting weis stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Variance | 1.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.21) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Weis Markets
The number of cover stories for Weis Markets depends on current market conditions and Weis Markets' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Weis Markets is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Weis Markets' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Weis Markets Short Properties
Weis Markets' future price predictability will typically decrease when Weis Markets' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Weis Markets often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Weis Markets' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Weis Markets' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 413.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Weis Markets to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Weis Stock please use our How to buy in Weis Stock guide.You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Weis Markets. If investors know Weis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Weis Markets listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Dividend Share 1.36 | Earnings Share 3.8 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.044 |
The market value of Weis Markets is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Weis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Weis Markets' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Weis Markets' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Weis Markets' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Weis Markets' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Weis Markets' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Weis Markets is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Weis Markets' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.