Willis Towers Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| WTW Stock | USD 316.61 0.86 0.27% |
Willis Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Willis Towers' share price is approaching 42. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Willis Towers, making its price go up or down. Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Willis Towers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Willis Towers Watson from the perspective of Willis Towers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Willis Towers Watson on the next trading day is expected to be 316.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.90. Willis Towers after-hype prediction price | USD 316.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Willis Towers to cross-verify your projections. Willis Towers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Willis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Willis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Willis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Willis Towers Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Willis Towers Watson on the next trading day is expected to be 316.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.28, mean absolute percentage error of 9.90, and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Willis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Willis Towers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Willis Towers Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Willis Towers | Willis Towers Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Willis Towers Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Willis Towers' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Willis Towers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 315.64 and 317.63, respectively. We have considered Willis Towers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Willis Towers stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Willis Towers stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5648 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1216 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2817 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0071 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 136.9038 |
Predictive Modules for Willis Towers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Willis Towers Watson. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Willis Towers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Willis Towers After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Willis Towers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Willis Towers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Willis Towers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Willis Towers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Willis Towers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Willis Towers' historical news coverage. Willis Towers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 315.62 and 317.60, respectively. We have considered Willis Towers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Willis Towers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Willis Towers Watson is based on 3 months time horizon.
Willis Towers Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Willis Towers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Willis Towers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Willis Towers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
316.61 | 316.61 | 0.00 |
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Willis Towers Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February Willis Towers Watson is traded for 316.61. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Willis is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Willis Towers is about 2200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 316.61. About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Willis Towers was at this time reported as 80.53. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.08. Willis Towers Watson recorded earning per share (EPS) of 20.89. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. The firm had 3775:10000 split on the 5th of January 2016. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Willis Towers to cross-verify your projections.Willis Towers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Willis Towers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Willis Towers' future price movements. Getting to know how Willis Towers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Willis Towers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACGL | Arch Capital Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.81 | 0.12 | 1.82 | (1.25) | 4.71 | |
| BRO | Brown Brown | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.60 | (1.82) | 9.87 | |
| RJF | Raymond James Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.02 | 2.22 | (2.20) | 5.52 | |
| SLF | Sun Life Financial | 1.99 | 6 per month | 1.17 | 0.04 | 1.51 | (1.76) | 4.41 | |
| STT | State Street Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.73 | 0.1 | 1.85 | (2.12) | 9.12 | |
| NWG | Natwest Group PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.18 | 2.52 | (2.19) | 8.21 | |
| WRB | W R Berkley | (1.65) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.10 | (2.14) | 9.24 | |
| BBDO | Banco Bradesco SA | 0.11 | 9 per month | 1.61 | 0.14 | 4.25 | (3.44) | 8.84 | |
| HIG | Hartford Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.79 | 0.08 | 1.96 | (1.34) | 6.38 | |
| KB | KB Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.59 | 0.07 | 4.61 | (2.95) | 8.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for Willis Towers
For every potential investor in Willis, whether a beginner or expert, Willis Towers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Willis Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Willis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Willis Towers' price trends.Willis Towers Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Willis Towers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Willis Towers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Willis Towers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Willis Towers Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Willis Towers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Willis Towers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Willis Towers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Willis Towers Watson entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Willis Towers Risk Indicators
The analysis of Willis Towers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Willis Towers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting willis stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6811 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9941 | |||
| Variance | 0.9882 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Willis Towers
The number of cover stories for Willis Towers depends on current market conditions and Willis Towers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Willis Towers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Willis Towers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Willis Towers Short Properties
Willis Towers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Willis Towers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Willis Towers Watson often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Willis Towers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Willis Towers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Additional Tools for Willis Stock Analysis
When running Willis Towers' price analysis, check to measure Willis Towers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Willis Towers is operating at the current time. Most of Willis Towers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Willis Towers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Willis Towers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Willis Towers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.