Zedge Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ZDGE Stock | USD 3.06 0.41 11.82% |
Zedge Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Zedge stock prices and determine the direction of Zedge Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Zedge's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of Zedge's share price is approaching 47. This usually means that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Zedge, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Zedge hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Zedge Inc from the perspective of Zedge response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zedge Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.40. Zedge after-hype prediction price | USD 3.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zedge to cross-verify your projections. Zedge Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Zedge price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zedge using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zedge charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Zedge Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zedge Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.40.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zedge Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zedge's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Zedge Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Zedge | Zedge Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Zedge Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Zedge's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zedge's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 8.32, respectively. We have considered Zedge's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zedge stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zedge stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.636 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0053 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1233 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0404 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.4 |
Predictive Modules for Zedge
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zedge Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Zedge After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Zedge at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Zedge or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Zedge, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Zedge Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Zedge's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Zedge's historical news coverage. Zedge's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 8.32, respectively. We have considered Zedge's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Zedge is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Zedge Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Zedge Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Zedge is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Zedge backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Zedge, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 5.26 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.06 | 3.06 | 0.00 |
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Zedge Hype Timeline
Zedge Inc is at this time traded for 3.06. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. Zedge is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Zedge is about 4383.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.10. About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.6. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Zedge Inc recorded a loss per share of 0.09. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zedge to cross-verify your projections.Zedge Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Zedge's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Zedge's future price movements. Getting to know how Zedge's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Zedge may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PODC | Courtside Group Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.72 | 0.09 | 12.62 | (8.30) | 25.92 | |
| TC | TuanChe ADR | 1.14 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.45 | (9.74) | 31.07 | |
| BODI | The Beachbody Company | (0.06) | 7 per month | 3.94 | 0.27 | 16.28 | (6.73) | 31.37 | |
| SCOR | Comscore | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.26 | 0.11 | 8.23 | (5.23) | 21.93 | |
| MNY | MoneyHero Limited Class | 0.19 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.76 | (5.76) | 39.95 | |
| FLNT | Fluent Inc | (0.06) | 8 per month | 3.32 | 0.19 | 10.98 | (5.51) | 26.93 | |
| RDI | Reading International | (0.08) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.17 | (4.51) | 14.05 | |
| NIPG | NIP Group American | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.72 | (6.92) | 24.01 | |
| ABLV | Able View Global | 0.07 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.96 | (10.81) | 54.31 | |
| TZUP | Thumzup Media | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 11.03 | (9.80) | 29.93 |
Other Forecasting Options for Zedge
For every potential investor in Zedge, whether a beginner or expert, Zedge's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zedge Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zedge. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zedge's price trends.Zedge Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zedge stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zedge could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zedge by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Zedge Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zedge stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zedge shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zedge stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zedge Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10906.39 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.93) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.88 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.23 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.17 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.37) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.41) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.15 |
Zedge Risk Indicators
The analysis of Zedge's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zedge's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zedge stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.26 | |||
| Variance | 27.63 | |||
| Downside Variance | 22.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.35 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.70) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Zedge
The number of cover stories for Zedge depends on current market conditions and Zedge's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Zedge is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Zedge's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Zedge Short Properties
Zedge's future price predictability will typically decrease when Zedge's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Zedge Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Zedge's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zedge's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zedge to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Zedge diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Zedge. Anticipated expansion of Zedge directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Zedge data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Zedge Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Zedge's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Zedge's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Zedge's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Zedge is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Zedge's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.