Zepp Health Stock Forward View

ZEPP Stock  USD 16.76  0.74  4.23%   
Zepp Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Zepp Health's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Zepp Health's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Zepp Health fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Zepp Health's share price is below 20 . This usually means that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Zepp Health's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Zepp Health Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Zepp Health's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.68)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.11)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.01)
Wall Street Target Price
64.37
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.785
Using Zepp Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Zepp Health Corp from the perspective of Zepp Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Zepp Health using Zepp Health's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Zepp using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Zepp Health's stock price.

Zepp Health Implied Volatility

    
  1.57  
Zepp Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Zepp Health Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Zepp Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Zepp Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when Zepp Health's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zepp Health Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.04.

Zepp Health after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zepp Health to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Zepp contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Zepp Health Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0981% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Zepp Health trading at USD 16.76, that is roughly USD 0.0164 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Zepp Health's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Zepp Health Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.57%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Zepp Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Zepp Health's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Zepp Health's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Zepp Health stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Zepp Health's open interest, investors have to compare it to Zepp Health's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Zepp Health is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Zepp. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Zepp Health Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Zepp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zepp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zepp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Zepp Health Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Zepp Health's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2015-12-31
Previous Quarter
682.9 M
Current Value
439.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
695.4 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Zepp Health is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Zepp Health Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Zepp Health Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zepp Health Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18, mean absolute percentage error of 2.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zepp Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zepp Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zepp Health Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Zepp Health  Zepp Health Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Zepp Health Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Zepp Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zepp Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.82 and 21.31, respectively. We have considered Zepp Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.76
15.06
Expected Value
21.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zepp Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zepp Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.8481
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1781
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0463
SAESum of the absolute errors73.0444
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Zepp Health Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Zepp Health. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Zepp Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zepp Health Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3117.5023.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.0828.4934.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.5623.5931.63
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
58.5864.3771.45
Details

Zepp Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Zepp Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Zepp Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Zepp Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Zepp Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Zepp Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Zepp Health's historical news coverage. Zepp Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.31 and 23.69, respectively. We have considered Zepp Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.76
17.50
After-hype Price
23.69
Upside
Zepp Health is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Zepp Health Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Zepp Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Zepp Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Zepp Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Zepp Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.61 
6.24
  0.72 
  0.03 
6 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.76
17.50
4.42 
528.81  
Notes

Zepp Health Hype Timeline

Zepp Health Corp is at this time traded for 16.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.72, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Zepp is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.5 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 4.42%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.61%. The volatility of related hype on Zepp Health is about 11700.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.79. Zepp Health Corp currently holds about 996.59 M in cash with (24.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.22. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zepp Health to cross-verify your projections.

Zepp Health Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Zepp Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Zepp Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Zepp Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Zepp Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TTECTTEC Holdings(0.08)7 per month 0.00 (0.02) 5.23 (5.51) 17.83 
EXFYExpensify(0.02)9 per month 0.00 (0.05) 4.83 (4.17) 15.27 
BWBabcock Wilcox Enterprises 0.28 9 per month 5.43  0.22  13.18 (8.36) 44.19 
KULRKULR Technology Group(0.10)10 per month 0.00 (0.02) 13.83 (8.81) 27.63 
TROOTROOPS Inc 0.44 7 per month 5.05  0.24  13.53 (9.09) 41.09 
STEMStem Inc(0.15)9 per month 0.00 (0.03) 10.81 (8.98) 27.91 
ARAIArrive AI(0.08)8 per month 0.00 (0.33) 5.35 (10.73) 20.70 
XTKGX3 Holdings Co(0.01)7 per month 0.00 (0.05) 24.24 (34.15) 160.00 
SVCOSilvaco Group Common 0.20 10 per month 0.00 (0.12) 5.80 (8.30) 15.65 

Other Forecasting Options for Zepp Health

For every potential investor in Zepp, whether a beginner or expert, Zepp Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zepp Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zepp. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zepp Health's price trends.

Zepp Health Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zepp Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zepp Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zepp Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zepp Health Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zepp Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zepp Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zepp Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zepp Health Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Zepp Health Risk Indicators

The analysis of Zepp Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zepp Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zepp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Zepp Health

The number of cover stories for Zepp Health depends on current market conditions and Zepp Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Zepp Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Zepp Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Zepp Health Short Properties

Zepp Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Zepp Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Zepp Health Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Zepp Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zepp Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments815.5 M

Additional Tools for Zepp Stock Analysis

When running Zepp Health's price analysis, check to measure Zepp Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zepp Health is operating at the current time. Most of Zepp Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zepp Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zepp Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zepp Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.