Aar Corp Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 65.27
| AIR Stock | USD 69.08 1.24 1.83% |
AAR |
AAR Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 65.27
The tendency of AAR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 65.27 or more in 90 days |
| 69.08 | 90 days | 65.27 | about 60.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AAR Corp to drop to $ 65.27 or more in 90 days from now is about 60.93 (This AAR Corp probability density function shows the probability of AAR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AAR Corp price to stay between $ 65.27 and its current price of $69.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.56 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.78 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, AAR Corp will likely underperform. Additionally AAR Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AAR Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AAR Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AAR Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AAR Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AAR Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AAR Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AAR Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AAR Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
AAR Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AAR Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AAR Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: AAR releases 2024 Sustainability Report |
AAR Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AAR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AAR Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AAR Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 85.8 M |
AAR Corp Technical Analysis
AAR Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AAR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AAR Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing AAR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AAR Corp Predictive Forecast Models
AAR Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many AAR Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AAR Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AAR Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about AAR Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AAR Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: AAR releases 2024 Sustainability Report |
Additional Tools for AAR Stock Analysis
When running AAR Corp's price analysis, check to measure AAR Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AAR Corp is operating at the current time. Most of AAR Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AAR Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AAR Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AAR Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.