The Baldwin Insurance Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 43.05
| BWIN Stock | 47.83 1.06 2.27% |
Baldwin |
Baldwin Insurance Target Price Odds to finish below 43.05
The tendency of Baldwin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 43.05 or more in 90 days |
| 47.83 | 90 days | 43.05 | about 5.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baldwin Insurance to drop to 43.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.18 (This The Baldwin Insurance probability density function shows the probability of Baldwin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baldwin Insurance price to stay between 43.05 and its current price of 47.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.69 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Baldwin Insurance will likely underperform. Additionally The Baldwin Insurance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Baldwin Insurance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Baldwin Insurance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baldwin Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Baldwin Insurance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baldwin Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baldwin Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Baldwin Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baldwin Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Baldwin Insurance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baldwin Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baldwin Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The Baldwin Insurance was previously known as Brp Group and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol BRP. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.22 B. Net Loss for the year was (90.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Baldwin Insurance has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: The Baldwin Insurance Group Inc Shares Up 3.31 percent on Nov 21 |
Baldwin Insurance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Baldwin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Baldwin Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baldwin Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 116.2 M |
Baldwin Insurance Technical Analysis
Baldwin Insurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baldwin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Baldwin Insurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baldwin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Baldwin Insurance Predictive Forecast Models
Baldwin Insurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baldwin Insurance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baldwin Insurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Baldwin Insurance
Checking the ongoing alerts about Baldwin Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baldwin Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The Baldwin Insurance was previously known as Brp Group and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol BRP. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.22 B. Net Loss for the year was (90.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Baldwin Insurance has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: The Baldwin Insurance Group Inc Shares Up 3.31 percent on Nov 21 |
Check out Baldwin Insurance Backtesting, Baldwin Insurance Valuation, Baldwin Insurance Correlation, Baldwin Insurance Hype Analysis, Baldwin Insurance Volatility, Baldwin Insurance History as well as Baldwin Insurance Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Insurance Brokers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Baldwin Insurance. If investors know Baldwin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Baldwin Insurance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.80) | Revenue Per Share 21.258 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.144 | Return On Assets 0.0151 | Return On Equity (0.08) |
The market value of Baldwin Insurance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Baldwin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Baldwin Insurance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Baldwin Insurance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Baldwin Insurance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Baldwin Insurance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Baldwin Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Baldwin Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baldwin Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.