Cfsb Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.35
| CFSB Stock | USD 6.70 0.06 0.90% |
CFSB |
CFSB Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 3.35
The tendency of CFSB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.35 or more in 90 days |
| 6.70 | 90 days | 3.35 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CFSB Bancorp to drop to $ 3.35 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CFSB Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of CFSB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CFSB Bancorp price to stay between $ 3.35 and its current price of $6.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.83 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days CFSB Bancorp has a beta of -0.13 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CFSB Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CFSB Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CFSB Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0122, implying that it can generate a 0.0122 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CFSB Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CFSB Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CFSB Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CFSB Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CFSB Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CFSB Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CFSB Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CFSB Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CFSB Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
CFSB Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CFSB Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CFSB Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CFSB Bancorp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Kuropatkin Mary of 6000 shares of CFSB Bancorp subject to Rule 16b-3 |
CFSB Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CFSB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CFSB Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CFSB Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27 M |
CFSB Bancorp Technical Analysis
CFSB Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CFSB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CFSB Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing CFSB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CFSB Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
CFSB Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many CFSB Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CFSB Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CFSB Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about CFSB Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CFSB Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CFSB Bancorp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Kuropatkin Mary of 6000 shares of CFSB Bancorp subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out CFSB Bancorp Backtesting, CFSB Bancorp Valuation, CFSB Bancorp Correlation, CFSB Bancorp Hype Analysis, CFSB Bancorp Volatility, CFSB Bancorp History as well as CFSB Bancorp Performance. For information on how to trade CFSB Stock refer to our How to Trade CFSB Stock guide.You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CFSB Bancorp. If investors know CFSB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CFSB Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.517 | Earnings Share (0.01) | Revenue Per Share 1.183 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) | Return On Assets (0.0003) |
The market value of CFSB Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CFSB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CFSB Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CFSB Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CFSB Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CFSB Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CFSB Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CFSB Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CFSB Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.