Freshpet Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 124.26
| FRPT Stock | USD 156.82 0.25 0.16% |
Freshpet |
Freshpet Target Price Odds to finish below 124.26
The tendency of Freshpet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 124.26 or more in 90 days |
| 156.82 | 90 days | 124.26 | about 1.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Freshpet to drop to $ 124.26 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.08 (This Freshpet probability density function shows the probability of Freshpet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Freshpet price to stay between $ 124.26 and its current price of $156.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Freshpet has a beta of 0.62. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Freshpet average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Freshpet will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Freshpet has an alpha of 0.2014, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Freshpet Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Freshpet
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Freshpet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Freshpet Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Freshpet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Freshpet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Freshpet, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Freshpet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Freshpet Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Freshpet for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Freshpet can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 766.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 186.03 M. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: How Should You Play Tyson Foods Stock at a PE Multiple of 17.5X |
Freshpet Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Freshpet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Freshpet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Freshpet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 296.9 M |
Freshpet Technical Analysis
Freshpet's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Freshpet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Freshpet. In general, you should focus on analyzing Freshpet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Freshpet Predictive Forecast Models
Freshpet's time-series forecasting models is one of many Freshpet's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Freshpet's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Freshpet
Checking the ongoing alerts about Freshpet for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Freshpet help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 766.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 186.03 M. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: How Should You Play Tyson Foods Stock at a PE Multiple of 17.5X |
Additional Tools for Freshpet Stock Analysis
When running Freshpet's price analysis, check to measure Freshpet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Freshpet is operating at the current time. Most of Freshpet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Freshpet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Freshpet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Freshpet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.