Freshpet Valuation

FRPT Stock  USD 156.57  3.57  2.33%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Freshpet shows a prevailing Real Value of $126.43 per share. The current price of the firm is $156.57. Our model computes the value of Freshpet from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 48.54 M, current valuation of 7.75 B, and Profit Margin of 0.05 % as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Freshpet's valuation include:
Price Book
7.4398
Enterprise Value
7.7 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
63.6389
Price Sales
8.19
Forward PE
196.0784
Overvalued
Today
156.57
Please note that Freshpet's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Freshpet is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Freshpet's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Freshpet's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 156.57, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  156.57 Real  126.43 Target  87.05 Hype  157.3 Naive  152.47
The intrinsic value of Freshpet's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Freshpet's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
124.26
Downside
126.43
Real Value
172.23
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Freshpet helps investors to forecast how Freshpet stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Freshpet more accurately as focusing exclusively on Freshpet's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.200.220.23
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
155.13157.30159.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
150.31152.47154.64
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
79.2287.0596.63
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Freshpet's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Freshpet's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Freshpet's closest peers.

Freshpet Cash

311.71 Million

Freshpet Valuation Trend

Freshpet's real value is important for investors to make better decisions and a more accurate overall view of Freshpet's financial worth over time. Using both Freshpet's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauge the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing conclusions.

Freshpet Revenue by Product

Freshpet Total Value Analysis

Freshpet is currently projected to have valuation of 7.75 B with market capitalization of 7.6 B, debt of 425.06 M, and cash on hands of 327.18 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Freshpet fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
7.75 B
7.6 B
425.06 M
327.18 M

Freshpet Investor Information

About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to Freshpet's liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Freshpet is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.

Freshpet Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Freshpet has an asset utilization ratio of 52.37 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.52 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Freshpet is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Freshpet Ownership Allocation

The majority of Freshpet outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to obtain positions in Freshpet to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Freshpet. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Freshpet as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On January 26, 2024, Senator Markwayne Mullin of US Senate acquired under $15k worth of Freshpet's common stock.

Freshpet Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 766.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 186.03 M.

About Freshpet Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Freshpet's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Freshpet based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Freshpet. We calculate exposure to Freshpet's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Freshpet's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit250.9 M263.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.04)(0.04)
Operating Profit Margin(0.04)(0.04)
Net Loss(0.04)(0.05)
Gross Profit Margin 0.33  0.47 

Freshpet Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Freshpet does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.093
Forward Price Earnings196.0784

Freshpet Current Valuation Indicators

Freshpet's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Freshpet's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Freshpet, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Freshpet's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Freshpet's worth.

Additional Tools for Freshpet Stock Analysis

When running Freshpet's price analysis, check to measure Freshpet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Freshpet is operating at the current time. Most of Freshpet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Freshpet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Freshpet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Freshpet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.