Freshpet Valuation

FRPT Stock  USD 70.27  0.57  0.82%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Freshpet shows a prevailing Real Value of $65.06 per share. The current price of the firm is $70.27. Our model computes the value of Freshpet from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 3.66 B, profit margin of 0.11 %, and Shares Outstanding of 48.81 M as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Freshpet's valuation include:
Price Book
2.8869
Enterprise Value
3.7 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
24.4069
Price Sales
3.1514
Forward PE
50.5051
Overvalued
Today
70.27
Please note that Freshpet's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Freshpet is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Freshpet's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Freshpet's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 70.27, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  70.27 Real  65.06 Target  74.33 Hype  70.07 Naive  69.47
The intrinsic value of Freshpet's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Freshpet's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
65.06
Real Value
77.30
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Freshpet helps investors to forecast how Freshpet stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Freshpet more accurately as focusing exclusively on Freshpet's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.260.360.41
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.0070.0772.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
67.4069.4771.55
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
67.6474.3382.51
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Freshpet's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Freshpet's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Freshpet's closest peers.

Freshpet Cash

324.37 Million

Freshpet Total Value Analysis

Freshpet is currently projected to have valuation of 3.66 B with market capitalization of 3.4 B, debt of 424.09 M, and cash on hands of 327.18 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Freshpet fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
3.66 B
3.4 B
424.09 M
327.18 M

Freshpet Investor Information

About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Freshpet was currently reported as 24.15. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.42. Freshpet had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to Freshpet's liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Freshpet may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.

Freshpet Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Freshpet has an asset utilization ratio of 61.92 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.62 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Freshpet is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Freshpet Profitability Analysis

Based on Freshpet's profitability indicators, Freshpet is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess Freshpet's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2012-03-31
Previous Quarter
16.4 M
Current Value
101.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
16.6 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit is likely to gain to about 478.1 M in 2026. Pretax Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.05 in 2026
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.470.406
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
For Freshpet profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Freshpet to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Freshpet utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Freshpet's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Freshpet over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Freshpet Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Freshpet is estimated to be 0.356375 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.255 to a high of 0.415. Freshpet's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 2.36. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Freshpet is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Freshpet is projected to generate 0.356375 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Freshpet earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Freshpet EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Freshpet's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Freshpet, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Freshpet Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Freshpet's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Freshpet is estimated to be 0.356375 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.255 to a high of 0.415. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Freshpet is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.26
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.356375
0.41
Highest

Freshpet Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Freshpet's value are higher than the current market price of the Freshpet stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Freshpet is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Freshpet's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1835.9%
0.0
0.356375
2.36

Freshpet Ownership Allocation

The majority of Freshpet outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to obtain positions in Freshpet to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Freshpet. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Freshpet as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On August 13, 2025, Senator Markwayne Mullin of US Senate acquired under $15k worth of Freshpet's common stock.

Freshpet Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 975.18 M. Net Income was 46.92 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 437.77 M.

About Freshpet Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Freshpet's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Freshpet based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Freshpet. We calculate exposure to Freshpet's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Freshpet's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit455.3 M478.1 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.04  0.05 
Operating Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Net Profit Margin 0.04  0.05 
Gross Profit Margin 0.41  0.47 

Freshpet Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Freshpet does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y6.75
Forward Price Earnings50.5051

Freshpet Current Valuation Indicators

Freshpet's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Freshpet's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Freshpet, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Freshpet's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Freshpet's worth.

Additional Tools for Freshpet Stock Analysis

When running Freshpet's price analysis, check to measure Freshpet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Freshpet is operating at the current time. Most of Freshpet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Freshpet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Freshpet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Freshpet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.