Freshpet Stock Technical Analysis
| FRPT Stock | USD 69.70 0.69 0.98% |
As of the 31st of January, Freshpet shows the Mean Deviation of 1.87, downside deviation of 2.11, and Coefficient Of Variation of 642.91. Freshpet technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.
Freshpet Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Freshpet, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FreshpetFreshpet's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Freshpet Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 74.33 | Strong Buy | 19 | Odds |
Most Freshpet analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Freshpet stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Freshpet, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Freshpet conference calls.
Is there potential for Packaged Foods & Meats market expansion? Will Freshpet introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Freshpet. Market participants price Freshpet higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Freshpet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.75 | Earnings Share 2.36 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.14 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Freshpet is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Freshpet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Freshpet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Freshpet's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Freshpet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Freshpet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Freshpet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Freshpet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Freshpet's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Freshpet 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Freshpet's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Freshpet.
| 11/02/2025 |
| 01/31/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Freshpet on November 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Freshpet or generate 0.0% return on investment in Freshpet over 90 days. Freshpet is related to or competes with Flowers Foods, Simply Good, Chagee Holdings, Chefs Warehouse, Inter Parfums, Central Garden, and RLX Technology. Freshpet, Inc. manufactures and markets natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats in the United States, Canada, a... More
Freshpet Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Freshpet's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Freshpet upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1337 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.92 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.05 |
Freshpet Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Freshpet's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Freshpet's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Freshpet historical prices to predict the future Freshpet's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1203 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3983 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2282 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1779 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7764 |
Freshpet January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1203 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.7864 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 642.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.81 | |||
| Variance | 7.87 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1337 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3983 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2282 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1779 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7764 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.92 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.84 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.14) | |||
| Skewness | 1.91 | |||
| Kurtosis | 8.45 |
Freshpet Backtested Returns
Freshpet appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Freshpet secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.18, which denotes the company had a 0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Freshpet, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Freshpet's Coefficient Of Variation of 642.91, downside deviation of 2.11, and Mean Deviation of 1.87 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Freshpet holds a performance score of 14. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.55, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Freshpet's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Freshpet is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Freshpet's downside variance, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Freshpet's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.94 |
Excellent predictability
Freshpet has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Freshpet time series from 2nd of November 2025 to 17th of December 2025 and 17th of December 2025 to 31st of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Freshpet price movement. The serial correlation of 0.94 indicates that approximately 94.0% of current Freshpet price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.94 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.6 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 15.21 |
Freshpet technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Freshpet Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Freshpet volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Freshpet Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Freshpet on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Freshpet based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Freshpet price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Freshpet. By analyzing Freshpet's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Freshpet's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Freshpet specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 14.3 | 14.79 | 13.31 | 7.24 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 44.73 | 50.91 | 58.55 | 50.0 |
Freshpet January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Freshpet help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Freshpet from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Freshpet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1203 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.7864 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 642.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.81 | |||
| Variance | 7.87 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1337 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3983 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2282 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1779 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7764 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.92 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.84 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.14) | |||
| Skewness | 1.91 | |||
| Kurtosis | 8.45 |
Freshpet January 31, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Freshpet stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 81,920 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.22) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 69.23 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 69.39 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.13 |
Additional Tools for Freshpet Stock Analysis
When running Freshpet's price analysis, check to measure Freshpet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Freshpet is operating at the current time. Most of Freshpet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Freshpet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Freshpet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Freshpet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.