Freshpet Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FRPT Stock | USD 158.03 0.64 0.40% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Freshpet is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Freshpet given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Freshpet, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Freshpet Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Freshpet Stock please use our How to Invest in Freshpet guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Freshpet and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Freshpet. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
Freshpet |
Execute Freshpet Buy or Sell Advice
The Freshpet recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Freshpet. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Freshpet or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Freshpet's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Freshpet Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 766.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 358.93 M. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Colgate Advances 13 percent in a Year To Buy or Not to Buy the Stock |
Freshpet Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Freshpet's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Freshpet's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Freshpet daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Freshpet price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Freshpet returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Freshpet.
| Mean Return | 0.19 | Value At Risk | -2.16 | Potential Upside | 2.33 | Standard Deviation | 2.11 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Freshpet historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Freshpet Stock Institutional Investors
The Freshpet's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Freshpet's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-09-30 | 1.3 M | Jennison Associates Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Riverbridge Partners Llc | 2024-09-30 | 939.5 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 896.3 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 835.7 K | State Street Corp | 2024-09-30 | 808 K | Driehaus Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 771.5 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-09-30 | 753.7 K | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2024-09-30 | 683.6 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 4.6 M | Wcm Investment Management | 2024-09-30 | 2.8 M |
Freshpet Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (6.8M) | (16.8M) | (26.2M) | (1.2M) | (1.1M) | (1.1M) | |
| Change In Cash | 57.8M | 5.5M | 59.9M | 164.1M | 188.8M | 198.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (113.4M) | (321.5M) | (273.3M) | (163.2M) | (146.8M) | (139.5M) | |
| Depreciation | 21.1M | 30.5M | 34.6M | 58.5M | 67.3M | 70.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 834K | 2.5M | 9.7M | 11.8M | 10.6M | 11.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 134.6M | 322.1M | 230.1M | 239.1M | 275.0M | 288.7M | |
| Net Income | (3.2M) | (29.7M) | (59.5M) | (33.6M) | (30.3M) | (28.7M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 67.2M | 72.8M | 132.7M | 296.9M | 341.4M | 358.5M | |
| Investments | (27.9M) | (322.1M) | (233.4M) | (239.1M) | (215.2M) | (204.4M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 53.8M | 53.8M | (55.9M) | (3.3M) | (3.8M) | (3.9M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 8.7M | 12.9M | 29.2M | 35.0M | 40.3M | 42.3M |
Freshpet Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Freshpet or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Freshpet's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Freshpet stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Freshpet Volatility Alert
Freshpet has relatively low volatility with skewness of 3.08 and kurtosis of 17.85. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Freshpet's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Freshpet's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Freshpet Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Freshpet's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Freshpet's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Freshpet and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Freshpet or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Freshpet's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Freshpet by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Freshpet to competition |
| Fundamentals | Freshpet | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.045 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0143 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 7.85 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 48.54 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.86 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.14 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.51 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 7.54 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 8.30 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 766.89 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 358.93 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 41.1 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (33.61 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 327.18 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 6.84 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 425.06 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.08 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 6.42 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 21.05 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 75.94 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 9.23 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.89 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (7.33) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 165.59 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.08 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.39 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 7.7 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.46 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (328.73 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 338.1 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 25.39 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 32 shares by Todd Cunfer of Freshpet at 153.18 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Freshpet Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Freshpet . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 11400.59 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.16) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 156.77 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 157.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.94 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.64) |
About Freshpet Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Freshpet? Buying financial instruments such as Freshpet Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Freshpet in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Advertising Thematic Idea Now
Advertising
Companies specializing in advertising, marketing and advertising services. The Advertising theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Advertising Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Additional Tools for Freshpet Stock Analysis
When running Freshpet's price analysis, check to measure Freshpet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Freshpet is operating at the current time. Most of Freshpet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Freshpet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Freshpet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Freshpet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.