Fvcbankcorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.76
| FVCB Stock | USD 15.76 0.15 0.96% |
Closest to current price FVCBankcorp long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
FVCBankcorp | Build AI portfolio with FVCBankcorp Stock |
FVCBankcorp Target Price Odds to finish over 15.76
The tendency of FVCBankcorp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 15.76 | 90 days | 15.76 | nearly 4.78 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FVCBankcorp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.78 (This FVCBankcorp probability density function shows the probability of FVCBankcorp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
FVCBankcorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FVCBankcorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FVCBankcorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FVCBankcorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FVCBankcorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FVCBankcorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FVCBankcorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FVCBankcorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FVCBankcorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
FVCBankcorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FVCBankcorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FVCBankcorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FVCBankcorp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Fvcbankcorp Trading Down 1 percent Whats Next |
FVCBankcorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FVCBankcorp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FVCBankcorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FVCBankcorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 159.1 M |
FVCBankcorp Technical Analysis
FVCBankcorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FVCBankcorp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FVCBankcorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing FVCBankcorp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FVCBankcorp Predictive Forecast Models
FVCBankcorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many FVCBankcorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FVCBankcorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FVCBankcorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about FVCBankcorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FVCBankcorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FVCBankcorp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Fvcbankcorp Trading Down 1 percent Whats Next |
Check out FVCBankcorp Analysis, FVCBankcorp Valuation, FVCBankcorp Correlation, FVCBankcorp Hype Analysis, FVCBankcorp Volatility, FVCBankcorp Price History as well as FVCBankcorp Performance. For information on how to trade FVCBankcorp Stock refer to our How to Trade FVCBankcorp Stock guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FVCBankcorp. Market participants price FVCBankcorp higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive FVCBankcorp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.152 | Dividend Share 0.18 | Earnings Share 1.21 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.107 |
Understanding FVCBankcorp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects FVCBankcorp's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what FVCBankcorp's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push FVCBankcorp's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FVCBankcorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FVCBankcorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, FVCBankcorp's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.