Fvcbankcorp Stock Technical Analysis
| FVCB Stock | USD 14.90 0.43 2.80% |
As of the 25th of January, FVCBankcorp owns the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.4239, coefficient of variation of 515.04, and Downside Deviation of 1.51. FVCBankcorp technical analysis allows you to utilize past data patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.
FVCBankcorp Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as FVCBankcorp, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FVCBankcorpFVCBankcorp | Build AI portfolio with FVCBankcorp Stock |
FVCBankcorp Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 15.5 | Hold | 1 | Odds |
Most FVCBankcorp analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand FVCBankcorp stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of FVCBankcorp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to FVCBankcorp conference calls.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FVCBankcorp. If investors know FVCBankcorp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FVCBankcorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.152 | Dividend Share 0.18 | Earnings Share 1.21 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.107 |
The market value of FVCBankcorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FVCBankcorp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FVCBankcorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FVCBankcorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FVCBankcorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FVCBankcorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FVCBankcorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FVCBankcorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FVCBankcorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
FVCBankcorp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to FVCBankcorp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of FVCBankcorp.
| 10/27/2025 |
| 01/25/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in FVCBankcorp on October 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding FVCBankcorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in FVCBankcorp over 90 days. FVCBankcorp is related to or competes with CF Financial, LCNB, First United, Virginia National, Investar Holding, Hawthorn Bancshares, and First Community. FVCBankcorp, Inc. operates as the holding company for FVCbank that provides various banking products and services in Vir... More
FVCBankcorp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure FVCBankcorp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess FVCBankcorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1492 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.48) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.95 |
FVCBankcorp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for FVCBankcorp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as FVCBankcorp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use FVCBankcorp historical prices to predict the future FVCBankcorp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1479 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.274 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1656 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1726 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4139 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FVCBankcorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FVCBankcorp January 25, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1479 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4239 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 515.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Variance | 3.03 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1492 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.274 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1656 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1726 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4139 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.48) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.95 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.12 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.44) | |||
| Skewness | 0.8152 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.09 |
FVCBankcorp Backtested Returns
FVCBankcorp appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. FVCBankcorp retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.18, which denotes the company had a 0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for FVCBankcorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize FVCBankcorp's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.4239, downside deviation of 1.51, and Coefficient Of Variation of 515.04 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, FVCBankcorp holds a performance score of 14. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.79, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, FVCBankcorp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding FVCBankcorp is expected to be smaller as well. Please check FVCBankcorp's treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether FVCBankcorp's current price history will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.74 |
Good predictability
FVCBankcorp has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between FVCBankcorp time series from 27th of October 2025 to 11th of December 2025 and 11th of December 2025 to 25th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of FVCBankcorp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current FVCBankcorp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.74 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.63 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.19 |
FVCBankcorp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
FVCBankcorp Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was thirty-six with a total number of output elements of twenty-five. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of FVCBankcorp volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About FVCBankcorp Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of FVCBankcorp on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of FVCBankcorp based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on FVCBankcorp price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding FVCBankcorp. By analyzing FVCBankcorp's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of FVCBankcorp's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to FVCBankcorp specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.007764 | 0.006902 | Price To Sales Ratio | 69.3 | 72.77 |
FVCBankcorp January 25, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of FVCBankcorp help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FVCBankcorp from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze FVCBankcorp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1479 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4239 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 515.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Variance | 3.03 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1492 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.274 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1656 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1726 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4139 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.48) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.95 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.12 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.44) | |||
| Skewness | 0.8152 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.09 |
FVCBankcorp January 25, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as FVCBankcorp stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.04 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.78) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | ||
| Day Median Price | 15.13 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 15.05 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.44) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.55 |
Complementary Tools for FVCBankcorp Stock analysis
When running FVCBankcorp's price analysis, check to measure FVCBankcorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FVCBankcorp is operating at the current time. Most of FVCBankcorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FVCBankcorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FVCBankcorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FVCBankcorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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