Fvcbankcorp Stock Price Prediction
| FVCB Stock | USD 12.37 0.10 0.81% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.136 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.91 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.13 | Wall Street Target Price 13.25 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.066 |
Using FVCBankcorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FVCBankcorp from the perspective of FVCBankcorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards FVCBankcorp using FVCBankcorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FVCBankcorp using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of FVCBankcorp's stock price.
FVCBankcorp Implied Volatility | 1.43 |
FVCBankcorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of FVCBankcorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if FVCBankcorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that FVCBankcorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when FVCBankcorp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FVCBankcorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FVCBankcorp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
FVCBankcorp after-hype prediction price | USD 12.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current FVCBankcorp contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that FVCBankcorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0894% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With FVCBankcorp trading at USD 12.37, that is roughly USD 0.0111 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating FVCBankcorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring FVCBankcorp options at the current volatility level of 1.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
FVCBankcorp |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FVCBankcorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FVCBankcorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FVCBankcorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FVCBankcorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FVCBankcorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FVCBankcorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FVCBankcorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FVCBankcorp's historical news coverage. FVCBankcorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.03 and 15.55, respectively. We have considered FVCBankcorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FVCBankcorp is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FVCBankcorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
FVCBankcorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FVCBankcorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FVCBankcorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FVCBankcorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 3.23 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.37 | 12.29 | 0.16 |
|
FVCBankcorp Hype Timeline
FVCBankcorp is currently traded for 12.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. FVCBankcorp is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.29 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on FVCBankcorp is about 9690.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.37. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 42.37 M. Net Income was 3.82 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 65.45 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out FVCBankcorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.FVCBankcorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FVCBankcorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FVCBankcorp's future price movements. Getting to know how FVCBankcorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FVCBankcorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HMNF | HMN Financial | (0.15) | 6 per month | 1.85 | 0.13 | 4.29 | (3.19) | 13.15 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | 0.76 | 7 per month | 2.08 | (0.01) | 5.67 | (4.53) | 13.83 | |
| FFNW | First Financial Northwest | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.58 | (1.74) | 4.32 | |
| FNWB | First Northwest Bancorp | 0.18 | 10 per month | 1.53 | (0.03) | 2.98 | (2.74) | 8.98 | |
| FCAP | First Capital | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.54 | (3.38) | 11.75 | |
| LSBK | Lake Shore Bancorp | (0.48) | 4 per month | 1.70 | (0.03) | 2.98 | (3.49) | 10.32 | |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | 0.13 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.00 | (3.81) | 14.90 | |
| CULL | Cullman Bancorp | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.18 | (1.64) | 4.73 | |
| FCCO | First Community | (0.27) | 6 per month | 1.34 | 0.08 | 3.05 | (2.18) | 10.09 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.09) | 10 per month | 1.27 | (0.01) | 2.53 | (1.95) | 11.26 | |
| OFED | Oconee Federal Financial | (0.09) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.48 | (5.28) | 12.66 | |
| HTBI | HomeTrust Bancshares | (0.39) | 6 per month | 1.64 | 0.05 | 2.80 | (2.27) | 18.89 |
FVCBankcorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FVCBankcorp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FVCBankcorp using various technical indicators. When you analyze FVCBankcorp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About FVCBankcorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of FVCBankcorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FVCBankcorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FVCBankcorp based on analysis of FVCBankcorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FVCBankcorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FVCBankcorp's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 50.56 | 89.4 | 80.46 | 84.49 | PTB Ratio | 1.64 | 1.16 | 1.33 | 1.74 |
Story Coverage note for FVCBankcorp
The number of cover stories for FVCBankcorp depends on current market conditions and FVCBankcorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FVCBankcorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FVCBankcorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
FVCBankcorp Short Properties
FVCBankcorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when FVCBankcorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FVCBankcorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FVCBankcorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FVCBankcorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -8 M |
Complementary Tools for FVCBankcorp Stock analysis
When running FVCBankcorp's price analysis, check to measure FVCBankcorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FVCBankcorp is operating at the current time. Most of FVCBankcorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FVCBankcorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FVCBankcorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FVCBankcorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Options Analysis Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios | |
| Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Cryptocurrency Center Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency | |
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
| Equity Valuation Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data | |
| Top Crypto Exchanges Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets |