Icf International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 135.53
| ICFI Stock | USD 135.53 0.95 0.70% |
ICF |
ICF International Target Price Odds to finish over 135.53
The tendency of ICF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 135.53 | 90 days | 135.53 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ICF International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This ICF International probability density function shows the probability of ICF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ICF International has a beta of 0.99. This usually indicates ICF International market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, ICF International is expected to follow. Additionally ICF International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ICF International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ICF International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ICF International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ICF International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ICF International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ICF International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ICF International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ICF International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
ICF International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ICF International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ICF International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ICF International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 11th of October 2024 ICF International paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres Why ICF International Stock is a Great Pick Right Now |
ICF International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ICF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ICF International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ICF International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.4 M |
ICF International Technical Analysis
ICF International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ICF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ICF International. In general, you should focus on analyzing ICF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ICF International Predictive Forecast Models
ICF International's time-series forecasting models is one of many ICF International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ICF International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ICF International
Checking the ongoing alerts about ICF International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ICF International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ICF International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 11th of October 2024 ICF International paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres Why ICF International Stock is a Great Pick Right Now |
Check out ICF International Backtesting, ICF International Valuation, ICF International Correlation, ICF International Hype Analysis, ICF International Volatility, ICF International History as well as ICF International Performance. For more detail on how to invest in ICF Stock please use our How to Invest in ICF International guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Research & Consulting Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ICF International. If investors know ICF will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ICF International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.384 | Dividend Share 0.56 | Earnings Share 5.69 | Revenue Per Share 106.651 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.031 |
The market value of ICF International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ICF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ICF International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ICF International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ICF International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ICF International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ICF International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ICF International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ICF International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.