Icf International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ICFI Stock  USD 135.52  1.23  0.92%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ICF International is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of ICF International's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out ICF International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in ICF Stock please use our How to Invest in ICF International guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as ICF and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards ICF International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute ICF International Buy or Sell Advice

The ICF recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ICF International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ICF International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ICF International's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ICF InternationalBuy ICF International
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon ICF International has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08), Jensen Alpha of (0.36), Total Risk Alpha of (0.58) and Treynor Ratio of (0.26)
Macroaxis provides investment recommendation on ICF International to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on ICF International. Our trade recommendations engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure ICF International is not overpriced, please check out all ICF International fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, price to sales, cash per share, as well as the relationship between the number of shares shorted and ebitda . Given that ICF International has a price to earning of 36.76 X, we strongly advise you to confirm ICF International market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the future given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

ICF International Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

ICF International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ICF International has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 11th of October 2024 ICF International paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: ICF International Raised to Buy at Sidoti

ICF International Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of ICF International's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ICF International's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ICF International daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ICF International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ICF International returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ICF International.
Mean Return
-0.24
Value At Risk
-2.09
Potential Upside
2.26
Standard Deviation
2.12
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ICF International historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

ICF Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Congress Asset Management Company, Llp2024-09-30
353.8 K
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
344 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
310.1 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
302.6 K
Systematic Financial Management Lp2024-09-30
279 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
251.3 K
Loomis, Sayles & Company Lp2024-06-30
250.7 K
Gw&k Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
224.8 K
Lord, Abbett & Co Llc2024-09-30
223.2 K
Wasatch Advisors Lp2024-09-30
1.6 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
1.4 M
Note, although ICF International's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

ICF International Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(6.5M)75.5M(61.6M)(7.5M)(3.5M)(3.3M)
Free Cash Flow64.5M155.5M90.3M137.7M130.0M71.4M
Depreciation28.2M33.7M32.0M49.9M60.7M63.8M
Other Non Cash Items1.5M6.2M20.2M10.9M1.9M1.8M
Capital Expenditures26.9M17.7M19.9M24.5M22.3M14.3M
Net Income68.9M55.0M71.1M64.2M82.6M46.2M
End Period Cash Flow6.5M82.0M20.4M13.0M9.4M13.0M
Change To Netincome17.0M21.5M42.0M30.5M35.1M18.3M
Dividends Paid10.5M10.6M10.6M10.5M10.5M10.0M
Change To Inventory13.2M(7.1M)47.9M(14.4M)(16.6M)(15.7M)
Change Receivables(31.3M)54.4M(19.0M)19.7M22.7M23.8M
Net Borrowings(35.0M)148.2M107.8M132.9M152.8M160.5M
Investments(30.5M)(270.9M)(194.5M)(258.8M)(8.8M)(9.3M)

ICF International Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ICF International or Professional Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ICF International's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ICF stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.97
σ
Overall volatility
2.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

ICF International Volatility Alert

ICF International exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.6 and kurtosis of 13.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ICF International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ICF International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

ICF International Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing ICF International's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ICF International's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ICF International and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ICF International or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ICF International's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ICF International by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare ICF International to competition
FundamentalsICF InternationalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.12-0.31
Return On Asset0.0533-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.09 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.13 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding18.76 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.39 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions97.38 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted169.94 K4.71 M
Price To Earning36.76 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.58 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.26 X11.42 X
Revenue1.96 B9.43 B
Gross Profit645.54 M27.38 B
EBITDA200.72 M3.9 B
Net Income82.61 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents8.25 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.44 X5.01 X
Total Debt642.67 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.81 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.33 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share52.03 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations152.38 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.10 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.69 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.88 X4.89 X
Target Price180.5
Number Of Employees9 K18.84 K
Beta0.61-0.15
Market Capitalization2.52 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.01 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings775.1 M9.33 B
Working Capital28.93 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Salmirs Scott B of 400 shares of ICF International at 138.3812 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

ICF International Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ICF . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About ICF International Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell ICF International? Buying financial instruments such as ICF Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having ICF International in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Diversified Assets
Diversified Assets Theme
Pablicly traded close-end funds and other entities backed by different types of diversified investments. The Diversified Assets theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Diversified Assets Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether ICF International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ICF International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Icf International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Icf International Stock:
Check out ICF International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in ICF Stock please use our How to Invest in ICF International guide.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Research & Consulting Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ICF International. If investors know ICF will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ICF International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.384
Dividend Share
0.56
Earnings Share
5.69
Revenue Per Share
106.651
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.031
The market value of ICF International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ICF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ICF International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ICF International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ICF International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ICF International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ICF International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ICF International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ICF International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.