Icf International Stock Volatility
| ICFI Stock | USD 135.53 0.95 0.70% |
ICF International holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.12, which attests that the company had a -0.12% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. ICF International exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out ICF International's coefficient of variation of (929.61), and Standard Deviation of 2.12 to validate the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to ICF International's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
ICF International Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of ICF daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use ICF's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of ICF International volatility.
ICF |
ESG Sustainability
While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, ICF International's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to ICF International's managers and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of ICF International at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase ICF stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving together with ICF Stock
Moving against ICF Stock
| 0.55 | KC | Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Tech Boost | PairCorr |
| 0.52 | G | Genpact Limited | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | SQ | Block Inc Tech Boost | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | PairCorr |
| 0.38 | DRVN | Driven Brands Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.35 | BR | Broadridge Financial | PairCorr |
ICF International Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
ICF International's beta coefficient measures the volatility of ICF stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents ICF stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, ICF International's beta of 0.99 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk ICF International stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. ICF International exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.62 and kurtosis of 13.2. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ICF International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ICF International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze ICF International Demand TrendCheck current 90 days ICF International correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)ICF Beta |
ICF standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.13 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by ICF International's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of ICF International's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in icf stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in ICF International.
ICF International Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which ICF International stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with ICF International's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of ICF International's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of ICF International's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures ICF International's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict ICF International's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for ICF International's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on ICF International's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. ICF International Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
ICF International Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ICF International has a beta of 0.9949 . This usually indicates ICF International market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, ICF International is expected to follow.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ICF International or Professional Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ICF International's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ICF stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
ICF International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an ICF International Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.ICF International Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of ICF International is -827.89. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 4.55 and standard deviation of 2.13. The mean deviation of ICF International is currently at 1.25. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
ICF International Stock Return Volatility
ICF International historical daily return volatility represents how much of ICF International stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 2.1342% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7608% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About ICF International Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of ICF International or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of ICF International may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to ICF's beta indicator, it measures the risk of ICF International and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of ICF International fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 505.2 M | 334.4 M | |
| Market Cap | 723.2 M | 366.1 M |
ICF International's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on ICF Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much ICF International's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize ICF International's volatility to invest better
Higher ICF International's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of ICF International stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. ICF International stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of ICF International investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in ICF International's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of ICF International's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
ICF International Investment Opportunity
ICF International has a volatility of 2.13 and is 2.8 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 19 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than ICF International. You can use ICF International to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of ICF International to be traded at $132.82 in 90 days.Weak diversification
The correlation between ICF International and DJI is 0.36 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ICF International and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
ICF International Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of ICF International's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ICF International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of ICF International stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.23) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (929.61) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.12 | |||
| Variance | 4.51 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
ICF International Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against ICF International as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. ICF International's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, ICF International's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to ICF International.
Complementary Tools for ICF Stock analysis
When running ICF International's price analysis, check to measure ICF International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ICF International is operating at the current time. Most of ICF International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ICF International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ICF International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ICF International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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