Lendingclub Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.47
| LC Stock | USD 16.73 0.83 5.22% |
LendingClub |
LendingClub Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 15.47
The tendency of LendingClub Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 15.47 or more in 90 days |
| 16.73 | 90 days | 15.47 | over 95.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LendingClub Corp to drop to $ 15.47 or more in 90 days from now is over 95.82 (This LendingClub Corp probability density function shows the probability of LendingClub Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LendingClub Corp price to stay between $ 15.47 and its current price of $16.73 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.28 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, LendingClub Corp will likely underperform. Additionally LendingClub Corp has an alpha of 0.3192, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). LendingClub Corp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for LendingClub Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LendingClub Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LendingClub Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LendingClub Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LendingClub Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LendingClub Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LendingClub Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LendingClub Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
LendingClub Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LendingClub Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LendingClub Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LendingClub Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| LendingClub Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| LendingClub Corp reports about 1.03 B in cash with (1.14 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.07. | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: LendingClub Stock Surges 5 percent Amid Strong Financial Performance |
LendingClub Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LendingClub Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LendingClub Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LendingClub Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 B |
LendingClub Corp Technical Analysis
LendingClub Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LendingClub Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LendingClub Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing LendingClub Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LendingClub Corp Predictive Forecast Models
LendingClub Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many LendingClub Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LendingClub Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LendingClub Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about LendingClub Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LendingClub Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LendingClub Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| LendingClub Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| LendingClub Corp reports about 1.03 B in cash with (1.14 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.07. | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: LendingClub Stock Surges 5 percent Amid Strong Financial Performance |
Check out LendingClub Corp Backtesting, LendingClub Corp Valuation, LendingClub Corp Correlation, LendingClub Corp Hype Analysis, LendingClub Corp Volatility, LendingClub Corp History as well as LendingClub Corp Performance. For information on how to trade LendingClub Stock refer to our How to Trade LendingClub Stock guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LendingClub Corp. If investors know LendingClub will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LendingClub Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.81 | Earnings Share 0.46 | Revenue Per Share 9.98 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.113 | Return On Assets 0.0044 |
The market value of LendingClub Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LendingClub that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LendingClub Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LendingClub Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LendingClub Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LendingClub Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LendingClub Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LendingClub Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LendingClub Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.