Orrstown Financial Services Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39.12
| ORRF Stock | USD 39.50 0.13 0.33% |
Closest to current price Orrstown long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Orrstown |
Orrstown Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 39.12
The tendency of Orrstown Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 39.12 or more in 90 days |
| 39.50 | 90 days | 39.12 | about 84.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orrstown Financial to drop to $ 39.12 or more in 90 days from now is about 84.86 (This Orrstown Financial Services probability density function shows the probability of Orrstown Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Orrstown Financial price to stay between $ 39.12 and its current price of $39.5 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.43 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Orrstown Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Orrstown Financial Services has an alpha of 0.0179, implying that it can generate a 0.0179 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Orrstown Financial Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Orrstown Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orrstown Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Orrstown Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orrstown Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orrstown Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orrstown Financial Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orrstown Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Orrstown Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orrstown Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orrstown Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 12th of November 2024 Orrstown Financial paid $ 0.23 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Orrstown Financial Services, Inc. Shares Bought by Empowered Funds LLC - MarketBeat |
Orrstown Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orrstown Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Orrstown Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orrstown Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 546.1 M |
Orrstown Financial Technical Analysis
Orrstown Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Orrstown Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Orrstown Financial Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Orrstown Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Orrstown Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Orrstown Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Orrstown Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Orrstown Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Orrstown Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Orrstown Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Orrstown Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 12th of November 2024 Orrstown Financial paid $ 0.23 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Orrstown Financial Services, Inc. Shares Bought by Empowered Funds LLC - MarketBeat |
Check out Orrstown Financial Backtesting, Orrstown Financial Valuation, Orrstown Financial Correlation, Orrstown Financial Hype Analysis, Orrstown Financial Volatility, Orrstown Financial History as well as Orrstown Financial Performance. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orrstown Financial. If investors know Orrstown will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Orrstown Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Dividend Share 0.83 | Earnings Share 1.36 | Revenue Per Share 11.803 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.575 |
The market value of Orrstown Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Orrstown that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Orrstown Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Orrstown Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Orrstown Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Orrstown Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Orrstown Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orrstown Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orrstown Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.