Orrstown Financial Services Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 37.60
| ORRF Stock | USD 37.60 0.04 0.11% |
Closest to current price Orrstown long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Orrstown Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 37.60
The tendency of Orrstown Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 37.60 | 90 days | 37.60 | about 14.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orrstown Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 14.08 (This Orrstown Financial Services probability density function shows the probability of Orrstown Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Orrstown Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Orrstown Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orrstown Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Orrstown Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orrstown Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orrstown Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orrstown Financial Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orrstown Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Orrstown Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orrstown Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orrstown Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Orrstown Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Have Orrstown Financial Services Insiders Been Selling Stock |
Orrstown Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orrstown Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Orrstown Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orrstown Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 994.8 M |
Orrstown Financial Technical Analysis
Orrstown Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Orrstown Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Orrstown Financial Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Orrstown Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Orrstown Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Orrstown Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Orrstown Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Orrstown Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Orrstown Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Orrstown Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Orrstown Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Orrstown Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Have Orrstown Financial Services Insiders Been Selling Stock |
Check out Orrstown Financial Analysis, Orrstown Financial Valuation, Orrstown Financial Correlation, Orrstown Financial Hype Analysis, Orrstown Financial Volatility, Orrstown Financial Price History as well as Orrstown Financial Performance. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Can Regional Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does Orrstown have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orrstown Financial. Anticipated expansion of Orrstown directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Orrstown Financial demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.559 | Dividend Share 1.06 | Earnings Share 4.18 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.08 |
Understanding Orrstown Financial requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Orrstown's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Orrstown Financial's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Orrstown Financial's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Orrstown Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Orrstown Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Orrstown Financial's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.