Orrstown Financial Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| ORRF Stock | USD 34.57 1.49 4.13% |
Orrstown Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Orrstown Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Orrstown Financial's share price is approaching 45. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Orrstown Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Orrstown Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Orrstown Financial Services from the perspective of Orrstown Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Orrstown Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 35.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.01. Orrstown Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 34.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orrstown Financial to cross-verify your projections. Orrstown Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Orrstown price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Orrstown using various technical indicators. When you analyze Orrstown charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Orrstown Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Orrstown Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 35.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Orrstown Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Orrstown Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Orrstown Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Orrstown Financial | Orrstown Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Orrstown Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Orrstown Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Orrstown Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.75 and 36.88, respectively. We have considered Orrstown Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Orrstown Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Orrstown Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3687 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0537 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4408 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0123 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.01 |
Predictive Modules for Orrstown Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orrstown Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Orrstown Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Orrstown Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Orrstown Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Orrstown Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Orrstown Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Orrstown Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Orrstown Financial's historical news coverage. Orrstown Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.01 and 36.13, respectively. We have considered Orrstown Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Orrstown Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Orrstown Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Orrstown Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Orrstown Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Orrstown Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Orrstown Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.56 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
34.57 | 34.57 | 0.00 |
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Orrstown Financial Hype Timeline
Orrstown Financial is now traded for 34.57. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Orrstown is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Orrstown Financial is about 834.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.59. About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.23. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Orrstown Financial last dividend was issued on the 5th of November 2025. The entity had 105:100 split on the 23rd of May 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orrstown Financial to cross-verify your projections.Orrstown Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Orrstown Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Orrstown Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Orrstown Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Orrstown Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MPB | Mid Penn Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.06 | 3.26 | (1.82) | 10.40 | |
| MCBS | MetroCity Bankshares | 0.15 | 8 per month | 1.47 | (0.01) | 2.87 | (2.71) | 9.78 | |
| THFF | First Financial | 0.76 | 4 per month | 1.17 | 0.11 | 3.55 | (1.60) | 10.39 | |
| CAC | Camden National | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0.12 | 3.78 | (2.43) | 10.30 | |
| GSBC | Great Southern Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.77 | 0.03 | 2.88 | (2.01) | 14.35 | |
| CCBG | Capital City Bank | 0.48 | 2 per month | 1.86 | (0.01) | 3.09 | (3.38) | 9.68 | |
| IBCP | Independent Bank | 0.48 | 2 per month | 1.09 | 0.07 | 2.57 | (2.35) | 7.82 | |
| BCAL | Southern California Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | (0.04) | 1.84 | (1.97) | 5.74 | |
| HTBK | Heritage Commerce Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.15 | 0.16 | 2.85 | (2.06) | 9.72 | |
| NBBK | NB Bancorp Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.01 | 0.13 | 2.93 | (1.83) | 6.22 |
Other Forecasting Options for Orrstown Financial
For every potential investor in Orrstown, whether a beginner or expert, Orrstown Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Orrstown Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Orrstown. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Orrstown Financial's price trends.Orrstown Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Orrstown Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Orrstown Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orrstown Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Orrstown Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Orrstown Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Orrstown Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Orrstown Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Orrstown Financial Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 25351.93 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.78) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 35.33 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 35.07 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.50) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.49) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.21 |
Orrstown Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Orrstown Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Orrstown Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting orrstown stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Variance | 2.45 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.32) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Orrstown Financial
The number of cover stories for Orrstown Financial depends on current market conditions and Orrstown Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Orrstown Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Orrstown Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Orrstown Financial Short Properties
Orrstown Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Orrstown Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Orrstown Financial Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Orrstown Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orrstown Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orrstown Financial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Can Stock industry sustain growth momentum? Does Orrstown have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orrstown Financial. Anticipated expansion of Orrstown directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Orrstown Financial demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Understanding Orrstown Financial requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Orrstown's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Orrstown Financial's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Orrstown Financial's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Orrstown Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Orrstown Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Orrstown Financial's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.