Orrstown Financial Services Stock Market Outlook

ORRF Stock  USD 37.64  0.26  0.70%   
Roughly 69 percent of all Orrstown Financial's stockholders are curious in acquiring. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Orrstown Financial Services stock suggests that a large number of investors are confidant at this time. The current market sentiment, together with Orrstown Financial's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Orrstown Financial stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.

Comfort Level 69

 Interested

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Orrstown Financial's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Orrstown Financial Services.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Orrstown Financial Services is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Orrstown Financial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ORRF positions.

Execute Orrstown Financial Advice

The Orrstown recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Orrstown Financial Services. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Orrstown Financial Services or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Orrstown Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Orrstown FinancialBuy Orrstown Financial
Buy

Market Performance

FairDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Orrstown Financial Services has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0874, Jensen Alpha of 0.1166, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0361, Sortino Ratio of 0.0659 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2203
Orrstown Financial advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Orrstown Financial is not overpriced, please check all Orrstown Financial fundamentals, including its gross profit, earnings per share, last dividend paid, as well as the relationship between the total debt and total asset . Given that Orrstown Financial has a number of shares shorted of 310.39 K, we recommend you to check out Orrstown Financial market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Orrstown Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Orrstown Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Have Orrstown Financial Services Insiders Been Selling Stock

Orrstown Financial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Orrstown Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Orrstown Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Orrstown Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Orrstown Financial Services price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Orrstown Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Orrstown Financial.
Mean Return
0.17
Value At Risk
-2.78
Potential Upside
2.79
Standard Deviation
1.67
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Orrstown Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Orrstown Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Fmr Inc2025-06-30
225.3 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
208.3 K
Proshare Advisors Llc2025-06-30
199.3 K
Petiole Usa Ltd2025-06-30
177 K
Qube Research & Technologies2025-06-30
171.4 K
Millennium Management Llc2025-06-30
171.1 K
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
162.8 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2025-06-30
160.1 K
Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, Llc2025-06-30
155 K
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
1.4 M
Fourthstone Llc2025-06-30
1.3 M
Note, although Orrstown Financial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Orrstown Financial Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change In Cash83.5M(147.9M)4.3M183.7M211.3M221.8M
Free Cash Flow39.6M35.3M41.4M33.4M38.4M40.3M
Depreciation5.3M4.6M4.3M9.7M11.1M11.7M
Other Non Cash Items(2.1M)(9.7M)6.1M1.8M2.1M2.0M
Dividends Paid8.3M8.3M(8.5M)(13.2M)(15.2M)(14.4M)
Capital Expenditures1.3M895K2.3M1.6M1.8M2.8M
Net Income32.9M22.0M35.7M22.1M25.4M26.6M
End Period Cash Flow208.7M60.8M65.2M248.9M286.2M300.5M
Investments(1.8M)(270.2M)(201.0M)61.0M54.9M57.6M
Change Receivables1.2M(2.9M)693K(2.8M)(2.5M)(2.4M)
Net Borrowings(52.3M)98.2M23.9M(14.4M)(16.5M)(15.7M)
Change To Netincome(4.1M)(931K)3.4M(15.8M)(14.2M)(13.5M)

Orrstown Financial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Orrstown Financial or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Orrstown Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Orrstown stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.73
σ
Overall volatility
1.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Orrstown Financial Volatility Alert

Orrstown Financial Services has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.16 and kurtosis of 0.96. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Orrstown Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Orrstown Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Orrstown Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Orrstown Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Orrstown Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Orrstown Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Orrstown Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Orrstown Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orrstown Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Orrstown Financial to competition
FundamentalsOrrstown FinancialPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.0147-0.14
Profit Margin0.32 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.47 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation920.84 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding19.51 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.50 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions61.78 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted310.39 K4.71 M
Price To Earning9.59 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.23 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.91 X11.42 X
Revenue353.86 M9.43 B
Gross Profit252.08 M27.38 B
EBITDA116.68 M3.9 B
Net Income22.05 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents66.93 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.26 X5.01 X
Total Debt336.37 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.18 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share30.32 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations34.96 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.02 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.18 X3.12 X
Target Price41.5
Number Of Employees60718.84 K
Beta0.81-0.15
Market Capitalization734.25 M19.03 B
Total Asset5.54 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings186.75 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.03 %
Five Year Return2.98 %
Net Asset5.54 B
Note: Disposition of 2500 shares by Messick John Rodney of Orrstown Financial at 38.62 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Orrstown Financial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Orrstown . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Orrstown Financial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Orrstown Financial Services? Buying financial instruments such as Orrstown Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Orrstown Financial in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Climate Change Thematic Idea Now

Climate Change
Climate Change Theme
Large and medium sized entities that are committing to fully or partially replace some traditional services or products with renewables sources of energy in order to combat global climate change. The Climate Change theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Climate Change Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Orrstown Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Orrstown Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Orrstown Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Orrstown Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Orrstown Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Can Regional Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does Orrstown have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orrstown Financial. Anticipated expansion of Orrstown directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Orrstown Financial demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.559
Dividend Share
1.06
Earnings Share
4.18
Revenue Per Share
13.128
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.08
Understanding Orrstown Financial requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Orrstown's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Orrstown Financial's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Orrstown Financial's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Orrstown Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Orrstown Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Orrstown Financial's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.