Preferred Bank Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 86.17
| PFBC Stock | USD 95.70 0.08 0.08% |
Closest to current price Preferred long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Preferred |
Preferred Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 86.17
The tendency of Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 86.17 in 90 days |
| 95.70 | 90 days | 86.17 | about 38.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Preferred Bank to stay above $ 86.17 in 90 days from now is about 38.01 (This Preferred Bank probability density function shows the probability of Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Preferred Bank price to stay between $ 86.17 and its current price of $95.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.63 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.99 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Preferred Bank will likely underperform. Additionally Preferred Bank has an alpha of 0.0545, implying that it can generate a 0.0545 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Preferred Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Preferred Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Preferred Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Preferred Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Preferred Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Preferred Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Preferred Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Preferred Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Preferred Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Preferred Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Preferred Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Preferred Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 21st of October 2024 Preferred Bank paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Dont Ignore The Insider Selling In Preferred Bank |
Preferred Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Preferred Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Preferred Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 910.9 M |
Preferred Bank Technical Analysis
Preferred Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Preferred Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Preferred Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Preferred Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Preferred Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Preferred Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Preferred Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Preferred Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Preferred Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Preferred Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 21st of October 2024 Preferred Bank paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Dont Ignore The Insider Selling In Preferred Bank |
Check out Preferred Bank Backtesting, Preferred Bank Valuation, Preferred Bank Correlation, Preferred Bank Hype Analysis, Preferred Bank Volatility, Preferred Bank History as well as Preferred Bank Performance. For information on how to trade Preferred Stock refer to our How to Trade Preferred Stock guide.You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Preferred Bank. If investors know Preferred will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Preferred Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | Dividend Share 2.8 | Earnings Share 9.99 | Revenue Per Share 19.356 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Preferred Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Preferred that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Preferred Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Preferred Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Preferred Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Preferred Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Preferred Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Preferred Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Preferred Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.