Stanley Black Decker Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 90.84
| SWK Stock | USD 92.52 3.27 3.66% |
Stanley |
Stanley Black Target Price Odds to finish below 90.84
The tendency of Stanley Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 90.84 or more in 90 days |
| 92.52 | 90 days | 90.84 | about 11.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stanley Black to drop to $ 90.84 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.57 (This Stanley Black Decker probability density function shows the probability of Stanley Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stanley Black Decker price to stay between $ 90.84 and its current price of $92.52 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.99 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Stanley Black has a beta of 0.55. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Stanley Black average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Stanley Black Decker will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Stanley Black Decker has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Stanley Black Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Stanley Black
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stanley Black Decker. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stanley Black's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Stanley Black Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stanley Black is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stanley Black's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stanley Black Decker, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stanley Black within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Stanley Black Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stanley Black for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stanley Black Decker can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Stanley Black Decker generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 15.78 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (310.5 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.41 B. | |
| Stanley Black Decker has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 8515 shares by Deborah Wintner of Stanley Black at 89.34 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Stanley Black Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stanley Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stanley Black's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stanley Black's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 149.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 449.4 M |
Stanley Black Technical Analysis
Stanley Black's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stanley Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stanley Black Decker. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stanley Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Stanley Black Predictive Forecast Models
Stanley Black's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stanley Black's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stanley Black's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Stanley Black Decker
Checking the ongoing alerts about Stanley Black for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stanley Black Decker help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Stanley Black Decker generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 15.78 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (310.5 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.41 B. | |
| Stanley Black Decker has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 8515 shares by Deborah Wintner of Stanley Black at 89.34 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Stanley Black Backtesting, Stanley Black Valuation, Stanley Black Correlation, Stanley Black Hype Analysis, Stanley Black Volatility, Stanley Black History as well as Stanley Black Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stanley Black. If investors know Stanley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Stanley Black listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 19 | Dividend Share 3.25 | Earnings Share (1.24) | Revenue Per Share 102.347 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Stanley Black Decker is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stanley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stanley Black's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stanley Black's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Stanley Black's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stanley Black's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stanley Black's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stanley Black is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stanley Black's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.