Xpo Logistics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 115.13
| XPO Stock | USD 148.97 0.72 0.48% |
XPO |
XPO Logistics Target Price Odds to finish over 115.13
The tendency of XPO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 115.13 in 90 days |
| 148.97 | 90 days | 115.13 | about 63.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of XPO Logistics to stay above $ 115.13 in 90 days from now is about 63.95 (This XPO Logistics probability density function shows the probability of XPO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of XPO Logistics price to stay between $ 115.13 and its current price of $148.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.93 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.78 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, XPO Logistics will likely underperform. Additionally XPO Logistics has an alpha of 0.1189, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). XPO Logistics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for XPO Logistics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XPO Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.XPO Logistics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. XPO Logistics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the XPO Logistics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold XPO Logistics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of XPO Logistics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 16.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
XPO Logistics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of XPO Logistics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for XPO Logistics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| XPO Logistics is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| XPO Logistics has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: XPO Inc Trading 3.43 percent Higher on Nov 21 |
XPO Logistics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of XPO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential XPO Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XPO Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 118 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 412 M |
XPO Logistics Technical Analysis
XPO Logistics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. XPO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of XPO Logistics. In general, you should focus on analyzing XPO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
XPO Logistics Predictive Forecast Models
XPO Logistics' time-series forecasting models is one of many XPO Logistics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary XPO Logistics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about XPO Logistics
Checking the ongoing alerts about XPO Logistics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for XPO Logistics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| XPO Logistics is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| XPO Logistics has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: XPO Inc Trading 3.43 percent Higher on Nov 21 |
Check out XPO Logistics Backtesting, XPO Logistics Valuation, XPO Logistics Correlation, XPO Logistics Hype Analysis, XPO Logistics Volatility, XPO Logistics History as well as XPO Logistics Performance. To learn how to invest in XPO Stock, please use our How to Invest in XPO Logistics guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of XPO Logistics. If investors know XPO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about XPO Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.123 | Earnings Share 3.08 | Revenue Per Share 69.741 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.037 | Return On Assets 0.0632 |
The market value of XPO Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of XPO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of XPO Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is XPO Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because XPO Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect XPO Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between XPO Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if XPO Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XPO Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.