Affirm Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AFRM Stock  USD 69.35  2.80  4.21%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Affirm Holdings is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Affirm Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Affirm Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Affirm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Affirm Holdings guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Affirm and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Affirm Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Affirm Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

The Affirm recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Affirm Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Affirm Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Affirm Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Affirm HoldingsBuy Affirm Holdings
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Affirm Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1794, Jensen Alpha of 0.976, Total Risk Alpha of 0.3958, Sortino Ratio of 0.38 and Treynor Ratio of 0.4124
Macroaxis provides unbiased investment recommendation on Affirm Holdings that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Affirm Holdings. Our trade advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Affirm Holdings is not overpriced, please confirm all Affirm Holdings fundamentals, including its cash per share, number of employees, and the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Affirm Holdings has a number of shares shorted of 18.34 M, we suggest you to validate Affirm Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Affirm Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Affirm Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Affirm Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.32 B. Net Loss for the year was (517.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.01 B.
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: Here is What to Know Beyond Why Affirm Holdings, Inc. is a Trending Stock

Affirm Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Affirm Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Affirm Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Affirm Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Affirm Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Affirm Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Affirm Holdings.
Mean Return
1.39
Value At Risk
-4.96
Potential Upside
10.53
Standard Deviation
6.25
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Affirm Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Affirm Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Affirm Holdings, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Affirm Holdings back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
2.6 M
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-06-30
2.5 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
2.4 M
Spyglass Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
2.3 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
2.3 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
2.2 M
Abdiel Capital Advisors Llc2024-09-30
2.1 M
1832 Asset Management L.p2024-09-30
M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
1.9 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
61.1 M
Capital Research Global Investors2024-09-30
23.8 M
Note, although Affirm Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Affirm Holdings Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Investments(253.1M)(1.0B)(2.0B)(1.5B)(1.3B)(1.4B)
Change In Cash(29.6M)1.4B(141.8M)(290.9M)35.5M33.7M
Net Borrowings325.7M962.7M2.1B1.4B1.6B1.1B
Free Cash Flow(92.3M)(213.4M)(225.5M)(108.6M)290.8M305.4M
Depreciation9.4M20.0M52.7M134.6M169.0M177.5M
Other Non Cash Items(29.1M)(93.9M)159.6M(83.0M)517.3M543.2M
Capital Expenditures21.0M20.3M111.7M120.8M159.3M83.3M
Net Income(112.6M)(430.9M)(707.4M)(985.3M)(517.8M)(543.6M)
End Period Cash Flow328.1M1.7B1.6B1.3B1.3B1.2B
Change To Netincome(1.4M)196.0M406.0M329.8M379.3M214.9M

Affirm Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Affirm Holdings or Professional Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Affirm Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Affirm stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.98
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.35
σ
Overall volatility
6.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

Affirm Holdings Volatility Alert

Affirm Holdings is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Affirm Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Affirm Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Affirm Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Affirm Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Affirm Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Affirm Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Affirm Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Affirm Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Affirm Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Affirm Holdings to competition
FundamentalsAffirm HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.17-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0359-0.14
Profit Margin(0.18) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.19) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation25.9 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding271.92 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.85 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions78.50 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted18.34 M4.71 M
Price To Book7.37 X9.51 X
Price To Sales8.28 X11.42 X
Revenue2.32 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.01 B27.38 B
EBITDA(2.23 M)3.9 B
Net Income(517.76 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.56 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.38 X5.01 X
Total Debt6.61 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.58 %48.70 %
Current Ratio19.48 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.03 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations450.14 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.14 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.41) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.17 X4.89 X
Target Price52.36
Number Of Employees2.01 K18.84 K
Beta3.48-0.15
Market Capitalization20.9 B19.03 B
Total Asset9.52 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(3.11 B)9.33 B
Working Capital8.08 B1.48 B
Net Asset9.52 B
Note: Disposition of 2335 shares by Michael Linford of Affirm Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Affirm Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Affirm . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Affirm Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Affirm Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Affirm Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Affirm Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Corporate Bonds Funds Thematic Idea Now

Corporate Bonds Funds
Corporate Bonds Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in different types of corporate debt instruments. The Corporate Bonds Funds theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Corporate Bonds Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Affirm Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Affirm Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Affirm Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Affirm Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Affirm Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Affirm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Affirm Holdings guide.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Data Processing & Outsourced Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Affirm Holdings. If investors know Affirm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Affirm Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.41)
Revenue Per Share
8.055
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.407
Return On Assets
(0.04)
Return On Equity
(0.17)
The market value of Affirm Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Affirm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Affirm Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Affirm Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Affirm Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Affirm Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Affirm Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Affirm Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Affirm Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.