Air Lease Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AL Stock | USD 49.80 1.88 3.92% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Air Lease is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Air Lease's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Air Lease Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Air Stock please use our How to buy in Air Stock guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Air and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Air Lease. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Air |
Execute Air Lease Buy or Sell Advice
The Air recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Air Lease. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Air Lease or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Air Lease's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Air Lease Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Air Lease reports 19.18 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.85, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. Air Lease has a current ratio of 0.88, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Air to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Air Lease has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of Air Lease shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 9th of October 2024 Air Lease paid $ 0.21 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Commercial Aircraft Leasing Market to Grow by USD 20.93 Billion , Driven by Strong Positions of Irish and Chinese Lessors, with AI Driving Market Transformation - Technavio |
Air Lease Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Air Lease's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Air Lease's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Air Lease daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Air Lease price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Air Lease returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Air Lease.
| Mean Return | 0.13 | Value At Risk | -2.41 | Potential Upside | 2.70 | Standard Deviation | 1.59 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Air Lease historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Air Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 2.1 M | Lyrical Asset Management Lp | 2024-06-30 | 2.1 M | Copeland Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 1.8 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.6 M | Reinhart Mahoney Capital Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.5 M | Capital Research Global Investors | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 1.4 M | Cooke & Bieler Lp | 2024-09-30 | 1.3 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 13 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 11.8 M |
Air Lease Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditures | 4.8B | 2.7B | 3.2B | 3.6B | 4.5B | 3.4B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 338.1M | 1.8B | 1.1B | 780.0M | 464.5M | 541.3M | |
| Change In Cash | 15.1M | 1.4B | (649.5M) | (328.3M) | (315.5M) | (299.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (3.4B) | (1.6B) | (1.9B) | (2.3B) | (2.8B) | (2.9B) | |
| Depreciation | 702.8M | 780.7M | 882.6M | 966.0M | 1.1B | 616.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (12.5M) | 60.4M | 51.1M | 759.5M | (164.5M) | (156.3M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 70.0M | 83.6M | 101.5M | 125.0M | 130.5M | 137.0M | |
| Net Income | 587.1M | 516.3M | 436.6M | (97.0M) | 614.6M | 387.9M | |
| Net Borrowings | 2.3B | 2.9B | 590.4M | 2.0B | 2.3B | 1.8B | |
| Change To Netincome | 30.8M | 158.3M | 77.9M | 630.5M | 725.1M | 761.3M | |
| Investments | (3.8B) | (2.5B) | (3.1B) | (3.4B) | (2.8B) | (2.9B) |
Air Lease Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Air Lease or Trading Companies & Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Air Lease's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Air stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Air Lease Volatility Alert
Air Lease has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.07 and kurtosis of 1.8. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Air Lease's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Air Lease's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Air Lease Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Air Lease's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Air Lease's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Air Lease and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Air Lease or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Air Lease's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air Lease by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Air Lease to competition |
| Fundamentals | Air Lease | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0732 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0281 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.20 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.50 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 25.07 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 111.38 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 6.51 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.00 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.13 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 8.71 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.70 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.96 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.68 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.35 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.53 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 614.62 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 766.42 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 9.13 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 19.18 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.85 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.90 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 68.92 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.75 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.96 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.36 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.91 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 56.33 | |
| Number Of Employees | 163 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.6 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 5.37 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 30.45 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 3.87 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (843.51 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 11270 shares by Gregory Willis of Air Lease at 50.0614 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Air Lease Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Air . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 25162.26 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.099415 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 49.17 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 49.38 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.57 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.88 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 65.53 |
About Air Lease Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Air Lease? Buying financial instruments such as Air Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Air Lease Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Air Stock please use our How to buy in Air Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Lease. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Lease listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | Dividend Share 0.84 | Earnings Share 4.36 | Revenue Per Share 24.608 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.047 |
The market value of Air Lease is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Lease's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Lease's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Lease's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Lease's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Lease's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air Lease is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Lease's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.