Air Lease Valuation

AL Stock  USD 50.64  0.84  1.69%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Air Lease shows a prevailing Real Value of $48.36 per share. The current price of the firm is $50.64. Our model approximates the value of Air Lease from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.20 %, return on equity of 0.0732, and Current Valuation of 25.34 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Air Lease's valuation include:
Price Book
0.7348
Enterprise Value
25.3 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
13.798
Price Sales
2.0604
Forward PE
6.9444
Overvalued
Today
50.64
Please note that Air Lease's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Air Lease is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Air Lease's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Air stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Air Lease. Since Air Lease is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Air Stock. However, Air Lease's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  50.64 Real  48.36 Target  53.17 Hype  50.84 Naive  49.28
The intrinsic value of Air Lease's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Air Lease's stock price.
48.36
Real Value
55.70
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Air Lease helps investors to forecast how Air stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Air Lease more accurately as focusing exclusively on Air Lease's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.810.960.83
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.2050.8452.48
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.540.550.56
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
48.3853.1759.02
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Air Lease's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Air Lease's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Air Lease's closest peers.

Air Lease Cash

532.95 Million

Air Valuation Trend

Knowing Air Lease's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Air Lease's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Air Lease Total Value Analysis

Air Lease is presently expected to have takeover value of 25.34 B with market capitalization of 5.64 B, debt of 19.18 B, and cash on hands of 766.42 M. Please note that takeover value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting mistakes. We encourage investors to methodically examine all of the Air Lease fundamentals before making investment evaluation based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
25.34 B
5.64 B
19.18 B
766.42 M

Air Lease Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.73. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Air Lease has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.91. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2024. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Air Lease's historical financial statements, Air Lease is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to report excellent financial results in December.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.30.5327
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.1 B1.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.5 B1.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Air Lease Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Air Lease has an asset utilization ratio of 8.82 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.0882 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Air Lease is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Air Lease Ownership Allocation

Air Lease holds a total of 111.38 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Air Lease outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Air Lease to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Air Lease. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Air Lease as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that nearly six million two hundred eighty-one thousand six hundred sixty-three invesors are currently shorting Air Lease expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Air Lease Profitability Analysis

The company generated the yearly revenue of 2.68 B. Reported Net Income was 614.62 M with gross profit of 1.35 B.

Air Lease Past Distributions to stockholders

About Air Lease Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Air Lease. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Air Lease based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Air Lease's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Air Lease's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Air Lease. We calculate exposure to Air Lease's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Air Lease's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit961.3 M670.7 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.28  0.33 
Operating Profit Margin 0.53  0.30 
Net Profit Margin 0.23  0.25 
Gross Profit Margin 0.36  0.50 
Air Lease's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Air Lease's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Air Lease can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Air Lease represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Air, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Air Lease Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Air Lease's Dividends Paid is quite stable compared to the past year. Dividend Yield is expected to rise to 0.03 this year, although the value of Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio will most likely fall to 0.25. . At this time, Air Lease's Retained Earnings are quite stable compared to the past year. Retained Earnings Total Equity is expected to rise to about 4.1 B this year, although the value of Earnings Yield will most likely fall to 0.07.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid130.5 M137 M
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.03 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.21  0.22 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.37  0.25 
There are various types of dividends Air Lease can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Air shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Air Lease directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Air pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Air Lease by the value of the dividends paid out.

Air Lease Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Air Lease does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding111.4 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.254
Forward Price Earnings6.9444

Air Lease Current Valuation Indicators

Air Lease's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Air Lease's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Air Lease, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Air Lease's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Air Lease's worth.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Air Lease. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
For more information on how to buy Air Stock please use our How to buy in Air Stock guide.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Lease. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Lease listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.25)
Dividend Share
0.84
Earnings Share
4.39
Revenue Per Share
24.608
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.047
The market value of Air Lease is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Lease's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Lease's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Lease's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Lease's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Lease's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air Lease is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Lease's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.