Is Air Lease Stock a Good Investment?

Air Lease Investment Advice

  AL
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Air Lease stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Air Lease. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Air Lease in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Air Lease's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Air Lease's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Air Lease navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Trading Companies & Distributors space and any emerging trends that could impact Air Lease's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Air Lease's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Air Lease is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Air Lease pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Air Lease's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Air Lease stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Air Lease is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Hold
Our investment recommendation tool can be used to complement Air Lease trade advice provided by experts. It analyzes the company's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure Air Lease is not overpriced, please confirm all Air Lease fundamentals, including its net income, book value per share, and the relationship between the revenue and total debt . Given that Air Lease has a price to earning of 8.71 X, we suggest you to validate Air Lease market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Air Lease Stock

Researching Air Lease's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.73. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Air Lease has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.91. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2024.
To determine if Air Lease is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Air Lease's research are outlined below:
Air Lease reports 19.18 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.85, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. Air Lease has a current ratio of 0.88, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Air to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Air Lease has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of Air Lease shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 9th of October 2024 Air Lease paid $ 0.21 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investors.com: Acquisition by Alex Khatibi of 5362 shares of Air Lease subject to Rule 16b-3
Air Lease uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Air Lease. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Air Lease's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
15th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
6th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
15th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Air Lease's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Air Lease's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2011-08-11
2011-06-300.060.080.0233 
2012-05-14
2012-03-310.290.26-0.0310 
2012-03-09
2011-12-310.210.240.0314 
2011-11-10
2011-09-300.150.180.0320 
2012-11-08
2012-09-300.320.360.0412 
2014-08-07
2014-06-300.520.580.0611 
2014-05-08
2014-03-310.50.570.0714 
2014-02-27
2013-12-310.480.550.0714 

Know Air Lease's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Air Lease is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Air Lease backward and forwards among themselves. Air Lease's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Air Lease's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc2024-06-30
2.1 M
Lyrical Asset Management Lp2024-09-30
M
Copeland Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.8 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
1.8 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.6 M
Reinhart Mahoney Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
1.5 M
Dz Bank Ag Deutsche Zentral-genossenschaftsbank Frankfurt Am Main2024-09-30
1.4 M
Capital Research Global Investors2024-09-30
1.4 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
1.4 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
13 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
11.8 M
Note, although Air Lease's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Air Lease's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a market capitalization of 5.64 B.

Market Cap

3.11 Billion

Air Lease's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.09 
The company has Net Profit Margin (PM) of 0.2 %, which suggests that even a small decline in it sales will erase profits and may result in a net loss, or a negative profit margin. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows Net Operating Margin (NOM) of 0.5 %, which signifies that for every $100 of sales, it has a net operating income of $0.5.
Determining Air Lease's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Air Lease is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Air Lease's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Air Lease's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Air Lease's management efficiency

Air Lease has Return on Asset (ROA) of 0.0281 % which means that for every $100 of assets, it generated a profit of $0.0281. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows a return on total equity (ROE) of 0.0732 %, which means that it produced $0.0732 on every 100 dollars invested by current stockholders. Air Lease's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Air Lease manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Air Lease's Return On Tangible Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Return On Assets is expected to rise to 0.02 this year, although the value of Return On Capital Employed will most likely fall to 0.03. At this time, Air Lease's Non Currrent Assets Other are quite stable compared to the past year. Total Current Assets is expected to rise to about 572.3 M this year, although the value of Non Current Assets Total will most likely fall to about 17.3 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 64.50  32.87 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 64.50  33.04 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 9.24  14.67 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.65  1.05 
Enterprise Value Multiple 9.24  14.67 
Price Fair Value 0.65  1.05 
Enterprise Value23.4 B24.5 B
The decision-making processes within Air Lease are key to its success in a competitive market. By evaluating these processes, we assess the stock's potential for future gains.
Dividend Yield
0.0174
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0174
Forward Dividend Rate
0.88
Beta
1.6

Basic technical analysis of Air Stock

As of the 25th of November, Air Lease shows the Downside Deviation of 1.48, mean deviation of 1.25, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0983. Air Lease technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Air Lease value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and semi variance to decide if Air Lease is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 50.64 per share. Given that Air Lease has jensen alpha of (0.01), we suggest you to validate Air Lease's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Air Lease's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Air Lease insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Air Lease's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Air Lease insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Air Lease's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Air Lease issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Air Lease uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Air bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Air Lease has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Air Lease's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Air Lease's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Air Lease's intraday indicators

Air Lease intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Air Lease stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Air Lease Corporate Filings

8K
8th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
17th of October 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
13A
7th of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
17th of September 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
Air Lease time-series forecasting models is one of many Air Lease's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Air Lease's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Air Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Air Lease that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Air media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Air internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Air data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Air Lease news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Air Lease relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Air Lease's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Air Lease alpha.

Air Lease Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Air Lease can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Air Lease Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Air Lease's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Air. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Air can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Air Lease. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Air Lease's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Air Lease and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Air Lease news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Air Lease.

Air Lease Corporate Directors

Robert MiltonLead Director, Independent DirectorProfile
Matthew HartIndependent DirectorProfile
Cheryl KrongardIndependent DirectorProfile
Ian SainesIndependent DirectorProfile

Already Invested in Air Lease?

The danger of trading Air Lease is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Air Lease is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Air Lease. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Air Lease is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Air Lease. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
For more information on how to buy Air Stock please use our How to buy in Air Stock guide.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Lease. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Lease listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.25)
Dividend Share
0.84
Earnings Share
4.39
Revenue Per Share
24.608
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.047
The market value of Air Lease is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Lease's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Lease's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Lease's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Lease's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Air Lease's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Air Lease is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Lease's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.