Is Air Lease Stock a Good Investment?
Air Lease Investment Advice | AL |
- Examine Air Lease's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Air Lease's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Air Lease navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Trading Companies & Distributors space and any emerging trends that could impact Air Lease's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Air Lease's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Air Lease is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Air Lease pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Air Lease's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Air Lease stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Air Lease is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Buy
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Air Lease Stock
Researching Air Lease's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.68. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Air Lease has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.91. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2024.
To determine if Air Lease is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Air Lease's research are outlined below:
| Air Lease reports 19.18 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.85, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. Air Lease has a current ratio of 0.88, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Air to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Air Lease has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 100.0% of Air Lease shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Wabtec, Air Lease and Greenbrier |
Air Lease uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Air Lease. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Air Lease's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 15th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 6th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 15th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Air Lease's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Air Lease's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2011-08-11 | 2011-06-30 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 33 | ||
2012-05-14 | 2012-03-31 | 0.29 | 0.26 | -0.03 | 10 | ||
2012-03-09 | 2011-12-31 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.03 | 14 | ||
2011-11-10 | 2011-09-30 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.03 | 20 | ||
2012-11-08 | 2012-09-30 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.04 | 12 | ||
2014-08-07 | 2014-06-30 | 0.52 | 0.58 | 0.06 | 11 | ||
2014-05-08 | 2014-03-31 | 0.5 | 0.57 | 0.07 | 14 | ||
2014-02-27 | 2013-12-31 | 0.48 | 0.55 | 0.07 | 14 |
Air Lease Target Price Consensus
Air target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Air Lease's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 7 | Strong Buy |
Most Air analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Air stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Air Lease, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationAir Lease Target Price Projection
Air Lease's current and average target prices are 46.66 and 57.86, respectively. The current price of Air Lease is the price at which Air Lease is currently trading. On the other hand, Air Lease's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Air Lease Market Quote on 17th of January 2025
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Air Lease Target Price
Air Lease Analyst Ratings
Air Lease's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Air Lease stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Air Lease's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Air Lease's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know Air Lease's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Air Lease is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Air Lease backward and forwards among themselves. Air Lease's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Air Lease's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Lyrical Asset Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 2 M | Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2 M | Copeland Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Reinhart Mahoney Capital Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.5 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M | Dz Bank Ag Deutsche Zentral-genossenschaftsbank Frankfurt Am Main | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M | Capital Research Global Investors | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M | Cooke & Bieler Lp | 2024-09-30 | 1.3 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 12.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 11.8 M |
Air Lease's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a market capitalization of 5.24 B.Market Cap |
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Air Lease's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.05 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.10 | 0.09 |
Determining Air Lease's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Air Lease is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Air Lease's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Air Lease's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Evaluate Air Lease's management efficiency
Air Lease has Return on Asset (ROA) of 0.0281 % which means that for every $100 of assets, it generated a profit of $0.0281. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows a return on total equity (ROE) of 0.0732 %, which means that it produced $0.0732 on every 100 dollars invested by current stockholders. Air Lease's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Air Lease manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Air Lease's Return On Tangible Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Return On Assets is expected to rise to 0.02 this year, although the value of Return On Capital Employed will most likely fall to 0.03. At this time, Air Lease's Non Currrent Assets Other are quite stable compared to the past year. Total Current Assets is expected to rise to about 572.3 M this year, although the value of Non Current Assets Total will most likely fall to about 17.3 B.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 58.05 | 32.87 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 58.05 | 33.04 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 14.33 | 14.95 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 0.75 | 1.05 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 14.33 | 14.95 | |
| Price Fair Value | 0.75 | 1.05 | |
| Enterprise Value | 21 B | 11.5 B |
The decision-making processes within Air Lease are key to its success in a competitive market. By evaluating these processes, we assess the stock's potential for future gains.
Basic technical analysis of Air Stock
As of the 17th of January 2025, Air Lease shows the Downside Deviation of 1.53, mean deviation of 1.26, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0589. Air Lease technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Air Lease value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and semi variance to decide if Air Lease is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 46.66 per share. Given that Air Lease has jensen alpha of 0.0999, we suggest you to validate Air Lease's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Air Lease's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Air Lease insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Air Lease's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Air Lease insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Gregory Willis over six months ago Disposition of 11270 shares by Gregory Willis of Air Lease at 50.0614 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Udvar-hazy Steven F over six months ago Acquisition by Udvar-hazy Steven F of 300 shares of Air Lease subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
John Plueger over six months ago Disposition of 28515 shares by John Plueger of Air Lease at 40.0628 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Carol Forsyte over six months ago Disposition of 3046 shares by Carol Forsyte of Air Lease at 40.0215 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Steven UdvarHazy over a year ago Bona fide gift to Steven UdvarHazy of 3050 shares of Air Lease subject to Section 16 | ||
Gregory Willis over a year ago Sale by Gregory Willis of 141 shares of Air Lease | ||
Gregory Willis over a year ago Payment of 3557 shares by Gregory Willis of Air Lease subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Air Lease's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Air Lease issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Air Lease uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Air bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Air Lease has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| AIR LEASE P Corp BondUS00912XAY04 | View | |
| AIFP 25 27 SEP 26 Corp BondUS00913RAD89 | View | |
| AIFP 35 27 SEP 46 Corp BondUS00913RAE62 | View | |
| AIR LEASE P Corp BondUS00912XAV64 | View | |
| AIFP 225 10 SEP 29 Corp BondUS00913RAF38 | View | |
| AIR LEASE P Corp BondUS00912XBA19 | View | |
| AIR LEASE P Corp BondUS00912XBF06 | View | |
| AL 465 Corp BondUS00912XBJ28 | View |
Understand Air Lease's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Air Lease's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0589 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2169 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1551.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.82 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0606 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0999 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1053 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0664 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2069 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.62 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.17) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.98 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.45) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1014 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.18 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0589 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2169 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1551.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.82 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0606 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0999 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1053 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0664 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2069 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.62 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.17) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.98 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.45) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1014 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.18 |
Consider Air Lease's intraday indicators
Air Lease intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Air Lease stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
| Accumulation Distribution | 14572.27 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5391 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 46.79 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 46.74 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.18 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.62 |
Air Lease Corporate Filings
8K | 18th of December 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F4 | 13th of December 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
| 17th of October 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
13A | 7th of October 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
Air Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Air Lease that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Air media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Air internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Air data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Air Lease news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Air Lease relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Air Lease's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Air Lease alpha.
Air Lease Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Air Lease can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Air Lease Historical Investor Sentiment
Investor biases related to Air Lease's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Air. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Air can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Air Lease. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Air Lease's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Air Lease and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Air Lease news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Air Lease.
Air Lease Maximum Pain Price Across February 21st 2025 Option Contracts
Air Lease's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Air Lease close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Air Lease's options.
Air Lease Corporate Directors
| Robert Milton | Lead Director, Independent Director | Profile | |
| Matthew Hart | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Cheryl Krongard | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Ian Saines | Independent Director | Profile |
Already Invested in Air Lease?
The danger of trading Air Lease is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Air Lease is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Air Lease. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Air Lease is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Air Lease. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. For more information on how to buy Air Stock please use our How to buy in Air Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Lease. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Lease listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | Dividend Share 0.84 | Earnings Share 4.3 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.047 |
The market value of Air Lease is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Lease's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Lease's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Lease's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Lease's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Air Lease's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Air Lease is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Lease's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.