Air Lease Stock Technical Analysis
| AL Stock | USD 64.41 0.05 0.08% |
As of the 29th of January, Air Lease shows the Mean Deviation of 0.0978, coefficient of variation of 528.92, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0923. Air Lease technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Air Lease treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and expected short fall to decide if Air Lease is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 64.41 per share. Given that Air Lease has treynor ratio of 0.5277, we suggest you to validate Air Lease's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Air Lease Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Air, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AirAir Lease's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Air Lease Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 65.0 | Strong Buy | 7 | Odds |
Most Air analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Air stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Air Lease, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Air conference calls.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Lease. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Air Lease assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.476 | Dividend Share 0.88 | Earnings Share 8.62 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.051 |
The market value of Air Lease is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Lease's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Lease's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Lease's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Lease's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Air Lease's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Air Lease represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Air Lease's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Air Lease 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Air Lease's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Air Lease.
| 10/31/2025 |
| 01/29/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Air Lease on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Air Lease or generate 0.0% return on investment in Air Lease over 90 days. Air Lease is related to or competes with Boeing, Didi Global, Zeta Global, Merck, First Majestic, and Northern Minerals. Air Lease Corporation, an aircraft leasing company, engages in the purchase and leasing of commercial jet aircraft to ai... More
Air Lease Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Air Lease's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Air Lease upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.1283 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.39) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.6614 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.17) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2496 |
Air Lease Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Air Lease's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Air Lease's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Air Lease historical prices to predict the future Air Lease's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0923 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0127 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0031 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.39) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5277 |
Air Lease January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0923 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5377 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.0978 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.1283 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 528.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1296 | |||
| Variance | 0.0168 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.39) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0127 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0031 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.39) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5277 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.6614 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.17) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2496 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0165 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.01) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.13) | |||
| Skewness | (0.21) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.836 |
Air Lease Backtested Returns
As of now, Air Stock is very steady. Air Lease secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the company had a 0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Air Lease, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Air Lease's Mean Deviation of 0.0978, risk adjusted performance of 0.0923, and Coefficient Of Variation of 528.92 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0201%. Air Lease has a performance score of 12 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0275, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Air Lease's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Air Lease is expected to be smaller as well. Air Lease right now shows a risk of 0.13%. Please confirm Air Lease treynor ratio, expected short fall, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Air Lease will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.88 |
Very good predictability
Air Lease has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Air Lease time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Air Lease price movement. The serial correlation of 0.88 indicates that approximately 88.0% of current Air Lease price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.88 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.69 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Air Lease technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Air Lease Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Air Lease volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Air Lease Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Air Lease on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Air Lease based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Air Lease price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Air Lease. By analyzing Air Lease's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Air Lease's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Air Lease specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.028 | 0.0263 | 0.0237 | 0.0249 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.73 | 1.96 | 2.26 | 3.18 |
Air Lease January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Air help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Air from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Air charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0923 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5377 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.0978 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.1283 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 528.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1296 | |||
| Variance | 0.0168 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.39) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0127 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0031 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.39) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5277 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.6614 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.17) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2496 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0165 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.01) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.13) | |||
| Skewness | (0.21) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.836 |
Air Lease January 29, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Air stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 64.41 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 64.41 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Air Lease. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. For more information on how to buy Air Stock please use our How to buy in Air Stock guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Lease. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Air Lease assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.476 | Dividend Share 0.88 | Earnings Share 8.62 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.051 |
The market value of Air Lease is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Lease's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Lease's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Lease's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Lease's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Air Lease's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Air Lease represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Air Lease's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.