Alarm Holdings Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

ALRM Stock  USD 51.39  0.00  0.00%   
Alarm Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Alarm Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Alarm Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Alarm Holdings fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength indicator of Alarm Holdings' share price is at 59. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Alarm Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 59

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Alarm Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Alarm Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Alarm Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alarm Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Alarm Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.6426
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.4986
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.6928
Wall Street Target Price
66.7143
Using Alarm Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alarm Holdings from the perspective of Alarm Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Alarm Holdings using Alarm Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Alarm using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Alarm Holdings' stock price.

Alarm Holdings Short Interest

An investor who is long Alarm Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Alarm Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Alarm Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
54.1974
Short Percent
0.0681
Short Ratio
4.91
Shares Short Prior Month
2.2 M
50 Day MA
50.9442

Alarm Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Alarm Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Alarm. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Alarm can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Alarm Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Alarm Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Alarm Holdings.

Alarm Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  0.49  
Alarm Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alarm Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alarm Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alarm Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alarm Holdings' options are near their expiration.

Alarm Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 51.39  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alarm Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Alarm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alarm Holdings guide.At this time, Alarm Holdings' Payables Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 6th of January 2026, Receivables Turnover is likely to grow to 8.83, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 4.08. . As of the 6th of January 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 51.6 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 34.3 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Alarm Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Alarm Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Alarm Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Alarm Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Alarm Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Alarm Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Alarm Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Alarm. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Alarm Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Alarm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alarm using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alarm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Alarm Holdings has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.0254. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Alarm Holdings is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Alarm Holdings to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Alarm Holdings trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Alarm Holdings VolatilityBacktest Alarm HoldingsInformation Ratio  

Alarm Holdings Trading Date Momentum

On January 06 2026 Alarm Holdings was traded for  51.38  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 51.52  and the lowest listed price was  50.21 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 6, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 0.00% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Alarm Holdings to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Alarm Holdings

For every potential investor in Alarm, whether a beginner or expert, Alarm Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alarm Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alarm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alarm Holdings' price trends.

Alarm Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alarm Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alarm Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alarm Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Alarm Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alarm Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alarm Holdings' current price.

Alarm Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alarm Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alarm Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alarm Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alarm Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Alarm Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Alarm Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alarm Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alarm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Alarm Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Alarm Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Alarm Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Alarm Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alarm Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Alarm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alarm Holdings guide.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alarm Holdings. If investors know Alarm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alarm Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
Earnings Share
2.36
Revenue Per Share
19.949
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.066
Return On Assets
0.0405
The market value of Alarm Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alarm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alarm Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alarm Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alarm Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alarm Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alarm Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alarm Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alarm Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.