Avista Stock Technical Analysis
| AVA Stock | USD 41.29 0.50 1.23% |
As of the 1st of February, Avista shows the Mean Deviation of 0.7808, risk adjusted performance of 0.0805, and Downside Deviation of 1.14. Avista technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Avista Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Avista, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AvistaAvista's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Avista Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 40.6 | Buy | 5 | Odds |
Most Avista analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Avista stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Avista, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Avista conference calls.
Is Multi-Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Avista. If investors know Avista will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Avista assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.564 | Dividend Share 1.945 | Earnings Share 2.39 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.023 |
Understanding Avista requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Avista's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Avista's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Avista's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Avista's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Avista represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Avista's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Avista 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Avista's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Avista.
| 11/03/2025 |
| 02/01/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Avista on November 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Avista or generate 0.0% return on investment in Avista over 90 days. Avista is related to or competes with MGE Energy, Otter Tail, NorthWestern, Excelerate Energy, Chesapeake Utilities, Renew Energy, and Companhia Paranaense. Avista Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an electric and natural gas utility company More
Avista Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Avista's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Avista upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0633 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.74) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.71 |
Avista Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Avista's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Avista's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Avista historical prices to predict the future Avista's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0805 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.09 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0503 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0566 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3616 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Avista's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Avista February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0805 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3716 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.7808 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 931.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Variance | 1.04 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0633 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.09 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0503 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0566 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3616 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.74) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.05 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.79) | |||
| Skewness | (0.43) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9205 |
Avista Backtested Returns
At this point, Avista is very steady. Avista secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which signifies that the company had a 0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Avista, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Avista's Mean Deviation of 0.7808, risk adjusted performance of 0.0805, and Downside Deviation of 1.14 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. Avista has a performance score of 11 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.28, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Avista's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Avista is expected to be smaller as well. Avista right now shows a risk of 1.03%. Please confirm Avista value at risk, kurtosis, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and semi variance , to decide if Avista will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.4 |
Poor reverse predictability
Avista has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Avista time series from 3rd of November 2025 to 18th of December 2025 and 18th of December 2025 to 1st of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Avista price movement. The serial correlation of -0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Avista price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.4 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.23 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.96 |
Avista technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Avista Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Avista volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Avista Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Avista on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Avista based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Avista price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Avista. By analyzing Avista's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Avista's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Avista specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0516 | 0.052 | 0.0598 | 0.0549 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.56 | 1.49 | 1.34 | 0.94 |
Avista February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Avista help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Avista from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Avista charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0805 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3716 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.7808 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 931.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Variance | 1.04 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0633 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.09 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0503 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0566 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3616 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.74) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.05 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.79) | |||
| Skewness | (0.43) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9205 |
Avista February 1, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Avista stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.02 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.54 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 40.85 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 40.99 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.69 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.93 |
Complementary Tools for Avista Stock analysis
When running Avista's price analysis, check to measure Avista's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avista is operating at the current time. Most of Avista's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avista's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avista's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avista to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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