Sierra Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BSRR Stock  USD 31.72  1.12  3.66%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Sierra Bancorp is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Sierra Bancorp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Sierra Bancorp. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Sierra Bancorp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Sierra Bancorp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Sierra Stock, please use our How to Invest in Sierra Bancorp guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Sierra and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Sierra Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Sierra Bancorp Buy or Sell Advice

The Sierra recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Sierra Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Sierra Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Sierra Bancorp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Sierra BancorpBuy Sierra Bancorp
Strong Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Sierra Bancorp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0553, Jensen Alpha of (0.05), Total Risk Alpha of (0.17), Sortino Ratio of 0.046 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0672
Our recommendation module can be used to complement Sierra Bancorp trade recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Sierra Bancorp is not overpriced, please validate all Sierra Bancorp fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, debt to equity, annual yield, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and target price . Given that Sierra Bancorp has a number of shares shorted of 83.42 K, we advise you to double-check Sierra Bancorp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Sierra Bancorp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Sierra Bancorp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 12th of November 2024 Sierra Bancorp paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: TJX Set To Open First Stores In Spain In2026

Sierra Bancorp Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Sierra Bancorp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Sierra Bancorp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Sierra Bancorp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Sierra Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Sierra Bancorp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Sierra Bancorp.
Mean Return
0.21
Value At Risk
-3.15
Potential Upside
4.11
Standard Deviation
3.27
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Sierra Bancorp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Sierra Stock Institutional Investors

The Sierra Bancorp's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Sierra Bancorp's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
204.6 K
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
194.6 K
Foundry Partners, Llc2024-09-30
177 K
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
141.1 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
124.2 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
122.1 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
119.5 K
Lsv Asset Management2024-09-30
115.8 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
98.6 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
1.4 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
976.7 K
Note, although Sierra Bancorp's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Sierra Bancorp Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash5.9M(8.7M)186.1M(180.4M)1.5M2.7M
Free Cash Flow46.0M37.1M52.3M32.3M51.8M29.1M
Depreciation4.1M4.1M4.3M3.5M3.2M3.4M
Other Non Cash Items8.3M13.9M1.4M13.3M4.2M4.0M
Dividends Paid11.3M12.2M13.2M13.9M13.7M14.4M
Capital Expenditures783K2.9M371K1.3M1.4M2.2M
Net Income36.0M35.4M43.0M33.7M34.8M19.2M
End Period Cash Flow80.1M71.4M257.5M77.1M78.6M74.6M
Investments(153.1M)(736.4M)(85.0M)(546.2M)(205.7M)(216.0M)
Net Borrowings9.4M113.4M16.9M127.2M146.3M153.6M
Change To Netincome3.1M6.4M(2.7M)8.0M9.2M9.7M

Sierra Bancorp Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Sierra Bancorp or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Sierra Bancorp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Sierra stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.93
σ
Overall volatility
3.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Sierra Bancorp Volatility Alert

Sierra Bancorp currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.03 and Jensen Alpha of -0.05. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Sierra Bancorp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Sierra Bancorp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Sierra Bancorp Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Sierra Bancorp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Sierra Bancorp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Sierra Bancorp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Sierra Bancorp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Sierra Bancorp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sierra Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Sierra Bancorp to competition
FundamentalsSierra BancorpPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0098-0.14
Profit Margin0.25 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.39 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation591.56 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding14.39 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders10.68 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions59.67 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted83.42 K4.71 M
Price To Earning8.49 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.23 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.11 X11.42 X
Revenue139.12 M9.43 B
Gross Profit129.72 M27.38 B
EBITDA49.7 M3.9 B
Net Income34.84 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents86.68 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.80 X5.01 X
Total Debt445.46 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity8.44 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share25.27 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations53.24 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.93 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.48 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.27 X4.89 X
Target Price31.0
Number Of Employees48918.84 K
Beta0.89-0.15
Market Capitalization447.07 M19.03 B
Total Asset3.74 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings259.05 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.03 %
Five Year Return3.11 %
Note: Acquisition by Hugh Boyle of 5963 shares of Sierra Bancorp subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Sierra Bancorp Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Sierra . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Sierra Bancorp Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Sierra Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Sierra Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Diversified Assets
Diversified Assets Theme
Pablicly traded close-end funds and other entities backed by different types of diversified investments. The Diversified Assets theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Diversified Assets Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Sierra Stock Analysis

When running Sierra Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Sierra Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sierra Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Sierra Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sierra Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sierra Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sierra Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.