Sierra Bancorp Valuation

BSRR Stock  USD 32.39  0.67  2.11%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Sierra Bancorp has a current Real Value of $27.15 per share. The regular price of the company is $32.39. Our model measures the value of Sierra Bancorp from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.11, operating margin of 0.39 %, and Shares Outstanding of 14.39 M as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Sierra Bancorp's valuation include:
Price Book
1.2997
Enterprise Value
616.9 M
Price Sales
3.2446
Forward PE
11.4025
Trailing PE
12.8532
Overvalued
Today
32.39
Please note that Sierra Bancorp's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Sierra Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Sierra Bancorp's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Sierra stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Sierra Bancorp. Since Sierra Bancorp is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Sierra Stock. However, Sierra Bancorp's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  32.39 Real  27.15 Target  22.7 Hype  32.32 Naive  30.66
The intrinsic value of Sierra Bancorp's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Sierra Bancorp's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
27.15
Real Value
35.63
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Sierra Bancorp helps investors to forecast how Sierra stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Sierra Bancorp more accurately as focusing exclusively on Sierra Bancorp's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.670.680.69
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.0932.3235.55
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.650.700.75
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
20.6622.7025.20
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Sierra Bancorp's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Sierra Bancorp's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Sierra Bancorp's closest peers.

Sierra Bancorp Cash

72.72 Million

Sierra Valuation Trend

Sierra Bancorp's real value is important for investors to make better decisions and a more accurate overall view of Sierra Bancorp's financial worth over time. Using both Sierra Bancorp's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauge the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing conclusions.

Sierra Revenue by Product

Sierra Bancorp Total Value Analysis

Sierra Bancorp is currently projected to have valuation of 616.92 M with market capitalization of 466.21 M, debt of 445.46 M, and cash on hands of 86.68 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Sierra Bancorp fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
616.92 M
466.21 M
445.46 M
86.68 M

Sierra Bancorp Investor Information

About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Sierra Bancorp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.27. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of October 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 17th of November 1997. Based on the analysis of Sierra Bancorp's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Sierra Bancorp may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.530.334
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities32.2 M53.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income36.7 M46.5 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile

Sierra Bancorp Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The latest return on assets of Sierra connotes not a very effective usage of assets in November.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Sierra Bancorp Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Sierra Bancorp is $466.21 Million. Over half of Sierra Bancorp's outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional holders are typically referred to as corporate investors that take positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Note, that even with substantial debt, if the true value of the company is larger than the current market value, you may still be able to generate positive returns on investment in this company at some point.

Sierra Bancorp Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 139.12 M. Net Income was 34.84 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 129.72 M.

Sierra Bancorp Past Distributions to stockholders

About Sierra Bancorp Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Sierra Bancorp's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Sierra Bancorp based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Sierra Bancorp. We calculate exposure to Sierra Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Sierra Bancorp's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit139.1 M82.9 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.33  0.24 
Operating Profit Margin 0.33  0.53 
Net Profit Margin 0.25  0.18 
Gross Profit Margin 1.11  1.06 

Sierra Bancorp Quarterly Retained Earnings

273.57 Million

Sierra Bancorp's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Sierra Bancorp's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Sierra Bancorp can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Sierra Bancorp represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Sierra, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Sierra Bancorp Dividends Analysis For Valuation

As of 11/25/2024, Dividends Paid is likely to grow to about 14.4 M, while Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0.02. . At this time, Sierra Bancorp's Retained Earnings are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/25/2024, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 15.14, while Earning Assets are likely to drop slightly above 621.8 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid13.7 M14.4 M
Dividend Yield 0.04  0.02 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.39  0.27 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 3.52  2.82 
There are various types of dividends Sierra Bancorp can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Sierra shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Sierra Bancorp directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Sierra pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Sierra Bancorp by the value of the dividends paid out.

Sierra Bancorp Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Sierra Bancorp does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.092
Forward Price Earnings11.4025

Sierra Bancorp Current Valuation Indicators

Sierra Bancorp's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Sierra Bancorp's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Sierra Bancorp, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Sierra Bancorp's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Sierra Bancorp's worth.

Additional Tools for Sierra Stock Analysis

When running Sierra Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Sierra Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sierra Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Sierra Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sierra Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sierra Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sierra Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.