ConocoPhillips Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| COP Stock | USD 98.45 0.10 0.10% |
ConocoPhillips Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although ConocoPhillips' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of ConocoPhillips' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of ConocoPhillips fundamentals over time.
As of today, The value of relative strength index of ConocoPhillips' share price is at 56 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ConocoPhillips, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.3381 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.2657 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.2978 | Wall Street Target Price 113 |
Using ConocoPhillips hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ConocoPhillips from the perspective of ConocoPhillips response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ConocoPhillips using ConocoPhillips' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ConocoPhillips using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ConocoPhillips' stock price.
ConocoPhillips Short Interest
An investor who is long ConocoPhillips may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about ConocoPhillips and may potentially protect profits, hedge ConocoPhillips with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 91.9969 | Short Percent 0.0134 | Short Ratio 2.33 | Shares Short Prior Month 17.2 M | 50 Day MA 93.1948 |
ConocoPhillips Relative Strength Index
ConocoPhillips Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ConocoPhillips' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ConocoPhillips. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ConocoPhillips can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ConocoPhillips. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ConocoPhillips' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ConocoPhillips.
ConocoPhillips Implied Volatility | 0.37 |
ConocoPhillips' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ConocoPhillips stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ConocoPhillips' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ConocoPhillips stock will not fluctuate a lot when ConocoPhillips' options are near their expiration.
ConocoPhillips after-hype prediction price | USD 97.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ConocoPhillips contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ConocoPhillips will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0231% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With ConocoPhillips trading at USD 98.45, that is roughly USD 0.0228 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ConocoPhillips' daily price movement you should consider acquiring ConocoPhillips options at the current volatility level of 0.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 ConocoPhillips Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast ConocoPhillips' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in ConocoPhillips' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for ConocoPhillips stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current ConocoPhillips' open interest, investors have to compare it to ConocoPhillips' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of ConocoPhillips is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ConocoPhillips. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
ConocoPhillips Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ConocoPhillips price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ConocoPhillips using various technical indicators. When you analyze ConocoPhillips charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 120156.0 | 137763.0 |
| Check ConocoPhillips Volatility | Backtest ConocoPhillips | Information Ratio |
ConocoPhillips Trading Date Momentum
| On January 26 2026 ConocoPhillips was traded for 98.45 at the closing time. Highest ConocoPhillips's price during the trading hours was 99.69 and the lowest price during the day was 97.79 . The net volume was 7.2 M. The overall trading history on the 26th of January did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 1.12% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare ConocoPhillips to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for ConocoPhillips
For every potential investor in ConocoPhillips, whether a beginner or expert, ConocoPhillips' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ConocoPhillips Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ConocoPhillips. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ConocoPhillips' price trends.ConocoPhillips Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ConocoPhillips stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ConocoPhillips could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ConocoPhillips by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ConocoPhillips Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ConocoPhillips stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ConocoPhillips shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ConocoPhillips stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ConocoPhillips entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ConocoPhillips Risk Indicators
The analysis of ConocoPhillips' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ConocoPhillips' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting conocophillips stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.55 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Variance | 3.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.77) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ConocoPhillips
The number of cover stories for ConocoPhillips depends on current market conditions and ConocoPhillips' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ConocoPhillips is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ConocoPhillips' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ConocoPhillips Short Properties
ConocoPhillips' future price predictability will typically decrease when ConocoPhillips' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ConocoPhillips often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ConocoPhillips' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ConocoPhillips' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 B |
Additional Tools for ConocoPhillips Stock Analysis
When running ConocoPhillips' price analysis, check to measure ConocoPhillips' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ConocoPhillips is operating at the current time. Most of ConocoPhillips' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ConocoPhillips' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ConocoPhillips' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ConocoPhillips to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.