China Yuchai International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CYD Stock | USD 9.53 0.12 1.28% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding China Yuchai International is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides China Yuchai buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CYD positions.
Check out China Yuchai Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as China and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. China Yuchai International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.
China |
Execute China Yuchai Buy or Sell Advice
The China recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on China Yuchai International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in China Yuchai International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute China Yuchai's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
China Yuchai Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| China Yuchai Interna generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Spotlighting November 2024s Undiscovered Gems in the United States |
China Yuchai Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of China Yuchai's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of China Yuchai's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of China Yuchai daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use China Yuchai International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of China Yuchai returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for China Yuchai.
| Mean Return | -0.12 | Value At Risk | -3.34 | Potential Upside | 2.84 | Standard Deviation | 1.98 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of China Yuchai historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
China Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Quadrant Capital Group Llc | 2024-09-30 | 8 K | Federation Des Caisses Desjardins Du Quebec | 2024-06-30 | 7.2 K | Thurston Springer Miller Herd & Titak Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.4 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-06-30 | 1.3 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 678 | Redwood Wealth Management Group Llc | 2024-06-30 | 500 | Lindbrook Capital, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 499 | New York State Common Retirement Fund | 2024-09-30 | 447 | Signaturefd, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 297 | Shah Capital Management | 2024-09-30 | 4.2 M | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 290.1 K |
China Yuchai Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (315.0M) | (1.7B) | (741.0M) | 185.9M | 221.9M | 233.0M | |
| Change In Cash | 193.4M | 124.4M | (1.1B) | (336.7M) | 1.1B | 1.1B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 319.0M | 330.5M | (355.0M) | (716.7M) | 988.2M | 1.0B | |
| Depreciation | 465.2M | 494.6M | 573.6M | 624.7M | 665.1M | 335.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (380.6M) | (366.1M) | (270.2M) | (147.8M) | (363.2M) | (345.0M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 238.8M | 245.9M | 448.7M | 109.7M | 80.2M | 76.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.3B | 1.1B | 859.5M | 597.2M | 237.8M | 466.6M | |
| Net Income | 1.0B | 971.9M | 451.7M | 394.7M | 571.4M | 533.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 5.8B | 5.9B | 4.8B | 4.5B | 5.5B | 5.8B | |
| Change To Netincome | 221.2M | 47.8M | 56.8M | (91.2M) | (82.1M) | (77.9M) | |
| Investments | (810.5M) | (4.0M) | (738.8M) | (133.0M) | (113.3M) | (118.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 388.5M | (8.4M) | 138.4M | (50.1M) | (57.6M) | (60.5M) |
China Yuchai Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to China Yuchai or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that China Yuchai's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a China stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
China Yuchai Volatility Alert
China Yuchai International exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.12 and kurtosis of 1.22. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure China Yuchai's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact China Yuchai's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.China Yuchai Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing China Yuchai's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze China Yuchai's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between China Yuchai and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as China Yuchai or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of China Yuchai's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Yuchai by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare China Yuchai to competition |
| Fundamentals | China Yuchai | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0352 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0095 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | (115.37 M) | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 37.52 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 63.07 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 12.88 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.57 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 3.46 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.27 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.02 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 18.05 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.63 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.33 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 571.35 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 5.15 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 125.95 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.59 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.19 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.42 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 225.82 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.23 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.18 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.18 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 14.1 | |
| Number Of Employees | 8.18 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.02 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 357.55 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 25.76 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 7.2 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 7.11 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 6.43 B | 9.34 B |
China Yuchai Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as China . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About China Yuchai Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell China Yuchai International? Buying financial instruments such as China Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out China Yuchai Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of China Yuchai. If investors know China will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about China Yuchai listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.347 | Earnings Share 1.18 | Revenue Per Share 469.471 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.124 | Return On Assets 0.0095 |
The market value of China Yuchai Interna is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of China that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of China Yuchai's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is China Yuchai's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because China Yuchai's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect China Yuchai's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between China Yuchai's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China Yuchai is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Yuchai's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.