China Yuchai International Stock Volatility

CYD Stock  USD 9.41  0.26  2.84%   
China Yuchai Interna secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0732, which signifies that the company had a -0.0732% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. China Yuchai International exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm China Yuchai's Mean Deviation of 1.34, risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Standard Deviation of 1.95 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to China Yuchai's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
China Yuchai Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of China daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use China's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of China Yuchai volatility.
  

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, China Yuchai's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to China Yuchai's managers and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as China Yuchai can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of China Yuchai at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of China Yuchai's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.

Moving against China Stock

  0.74IP International PaperPairCorr
  0.73ELMSQ Electric Last MilePairCorr
  0.7DRVN Driven Brands HoldingsPairCorr
  0.59VIRC Virco ManufacturingPairCorr
  0.55SW Smurfit WestRock plcPairCorr
  0.38EFOI Energy FocuPairCorr

China Yuchai Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

China Yuchai's beta coefficient measures the volatility of China stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents China stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, China Yuchai's beta of -0.24 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk China Yuchai stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. China Yuchai International exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.18 and kurtosis of 1.48. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure China Yuchai's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact China Yuchai's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze China Yuchai Interna Demand Trend
Check current 90 days China Yuchai correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

China Beta

    
  -0.24  
China standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.01  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by China Yuchai's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of China Yuchai's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in china stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in China Yuchai.

China Yuchai Interna Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which China Yuchai stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with China Yuchai's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of China Yuchai's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of China Yuchai's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures China Yuchai's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict China Yuchai's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for China Yuchai's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on China Yuchai's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. China Yuchai Interna Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

China Yuchai Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon China Yuchai International has a beta of -0.2399 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding China Yuchai are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, China Yuchai International is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to China Yuchai or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that China Yuchai's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a China stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
China Yuchai International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
China Yuchai's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how china stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a China Yuchai Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

China Yuchai Stock Risk Measures

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of China Yuchai is -1365.66. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 4.02 and standard deviation of 2.01. The mean deviation of China Yuchai International is currently at 1.4. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.75
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
2.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

China Yuchai Stock Return Volatility

China Yuchai historical daily return volatility represents how much of China Yuchai stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm has volatility of 2.0054% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7608% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About China Yuchai Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of China Yuchai or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of China Yuchai may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to China's beta indicator, it measures the risk of China Yuchai and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of China Yuchai fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses29.5 M32.8 M
Market Cap2.4 B2.4 B
China Yuchai's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on China Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much China Yuchai's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize China Yuchai's volatility to invest better

Higher China Yuchai's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of China Yuchai Interna stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. China Yuchai Interna stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of China Yuchai Interna investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in China Yuchai's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of China Yuchai's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

China Yuchai Investment Opportunity

China Yuchai International has a volatility of 2.01 and is 2.64 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of China Yuchai International is lower than 17 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use China Yuchai International to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of China Yuchai to be traded at $11.29 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between China Yuchai International and DJI is -0.09 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding China Yuchai International and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

China Yuchai Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of China Yuchai's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in China Yuchai's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of China Yuchai stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

China Yuchai Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against China Yuchai as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. China Yuchai's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, China Yuchai's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to China Yuchai International.

Complementary Tools for China Stock analysis

When running China Yuchai's price analysis, check to measure China Yuchai's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Yuchai is operating at the current time. Most of China Yuchai's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Yuchai's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Yuchai's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Yuchai to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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